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Small Banks Have Big CRE Risk? Really? | Bank of America Update
The net losses disclosed by BAC and the other large banks at the end of Q4 2023 are significantly understated...
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Mar 25, 20247 min read


Top-Five Banks: Q1 '24 Earnings Setup
We see higher credit costs, narrowing NIM and still rising funding costs squeezing the banking industry in Q1 2024...
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Mar 19, 20247 min read


Inside the WGA Bank Top 10 Index
So what makes the WGA Bank Top 10 unique? Below we provide some quantitative and qualitative comments on each of the ten best US banks
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Mar 13, 20247 min read


Bank Book Q1 2024 Released; Biden Penalizes Consumers Who Refinance
Despite what Joe Biden says about helping Americans with the soaring cost of housing, he really protects Black Rock (BK), Pimco et al
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Mar 10, 20245 min read


Does Kathy Hochul Have a New York Community Bank Endgame?
FDIC Chairman Gruenberg ought to tell New York State to take over the rent controlled loans from Signature, NYCB and other lenders...
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Mar 6, 20247 min read


Should FOMC Members Avoid the Media? The WGA Top 100 Banks
More often than not, Fed Governors use media appearances to enhance their personal celebrity rather than doing their jobs.
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Mar 4, 20246 min read


WGA Releases Top 50 Bank Index | What's in Your ETF?
Not all banks or companies are the same and not all follow the herd.
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Feb 25, 20245 min read


Does CapitalOne + Discover Financial = Shareholder Value?
Elizabeth Warren and progressives in Congress should support COF's purchase of Discover as a way to compete with monopoly JPMorgan
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Feb 21, 20244 min read


Should We Resurrect the Reconstruction Finance Corporation?
We can all pretend that the collapse of valuations for many commercial and multifamily properties is not a major problem. Or we can act now
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Feb 13, 202411 min read


Assume Loss Given Default > 100% | PennyMac & Western Alliance Bank
Q: What do Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank and New York Community Bank have in common? Auditor, KPMG.
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Feb 4, 202410 min read


NYCB Cleans House Badly, NAIC Gives Insurers Pass on Realized Losses
Sad to say, the business at NYCB is doing better than you'd think reading the bank's absurd disclosure.
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Feb 1, 20247 min read


Good, Bad & Ugly: AXP, SOFI & BAC
AXP is a premium stock that is best acquired when people think, incorrectly, that the world is ending.
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Jan 30, 20247 min read


EVs Wane, Fintech Sputters & COF Dumps Commercial Mortgages
Now let’s take a look at how some members of the banking and fintech sector are doing in the first month of 2024.
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Jan 29, 20248 min read


Interview: Bill Kennedy of RiskBridge Advisors
Volatility remains perhaps the biggest risk factor today, mostly because of a lack of visibility on unexpected risks.
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Jan 24, 20249 min read


Update: U.S. Bancorp
Net interest income at USB was down again for the fourth consecutive quarter, confirming a trend across the banking industry
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Jan 22, 20245 min read


Banks Slow Walk Commercial Real Estate Losses
As reflected in the valuations for JPM, WFC and BXMT, institutional investors are still not that concerned about commercial real est losses
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Jan 18, 20247 min read


Citigroup Cannot Cut to Profitability
If Fraser cannot articulate a coherent reason to keep the business together, a breakup may be the most sensible strategy.
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Jan 15, 20247 min read


Bank Earnings Setup Q4 2023
Look for falling rates sooner rather than later as the Fed and other agencies prepare to resolve more bank failures in 2024.
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Jan 11, 20245 min read


Bank Reserves & Treasury Auctions
As the public debt of the US grows, after all, the implicit claim of the Treasury on all private US assets also grows.
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Jan 8, 20248 min read


Comments on Basel III Endgame
The Basel III proposal reflects a view of financial risks facing US banks that is decades out of date and ignores market risk
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Jan 3, 20243 min read
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