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The Institutional Risk Analyst


Stocks, Interest Rates and Reverse RPs
Simply stated, with T-bills trading significantly above the yield on RRPs, there is no reason for MMFs to leave cash at the Fed
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Dec 8, 20234 min read


Update: PennyMac Financial Services
If we are marking balance sheet assets to actual market in the age of deflation, what of the heavily modeled world of servicing assets?
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Nov 1, 20236 min read


Washington Trip Notes; Mr. Cooper & PennyMac Financial
The last Treasury Secretary that tried to extend the maturities of US government debt was Jack Lew (2013-2017). Yellen missed an opportunity
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Jul 28, 20235 min read


Mortgage Lenders Face Return of a Purchase Market
The “winners” in the mortgage sector will be those larger players with equally large servicing books that can access bank funding
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Jul 8, 20237 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper & PennyMac Financial
Both PFSI and COOP are navigating the current market well, but we have questions about where the former is headed.
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Apr 30, 20236 min read


The Return of Credit Risk
Fact is, Dr. Brainard has primary culpability in the growing economic pain being felt around the country.
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Feb 23, 20237 min read


Mortgage Wrap; PennyMac Financial, Rithm Capital & MSRs
We suspect that the IMBs will be sellers of conventional assets to defend their Ginnie Mae MSRs. Banks may be buyers of conventional assets
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Feb 9, 20237 min read


Update: Credit Suisse (CS) & PennyMac Financial (PFSI)
Like COOP, volumes are down dramatically from 2021 but MSR values and cash flows from servicing are rising
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Oct 28, 20227 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper (COOP)
Despite the outlook for the industry, COOP continues to be one of the better performing names in our mortgage surveillance group.
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Oct 26, 20224 min read


No End to Conservatorship for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will likely sit in conservatorship indefinitely unless and until Congress acts first.
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Aug 17, 20226 min read


FOMC vs TGA; PennyMac Financial & United Wholesale Mortgage
Net, net, the dynamics in the market are actually forcing interest rates down
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May 25, 20229 min read


Update: Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL) and Silvergate Corp (SI)
There are virtually no conventional lenders in the US today that are profitable when the sell a loan into the secondary market.
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Apr 22, 20226 min read


The Residential Mortgage Finance Top Twenty Seven
Who is going to acquire and restructure Blend Labs (BLND) before this newbie-fintech-something runs out of cash?
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Apr 4, 20222 min read


Update: PennyMac Financial and loanDepot
February 7, 2022 | Last week saw the start of the reporting season for publicly listed mortgage companies, with loanDepot (LDI) and...
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Feb 7, 20224 min read


Update: Rocket Companies, PennyMac Financial Services & Home Point
When issuers like RKT and PFSI are paying up for servicing assets, you know that the secondary loan market is getting tougher by the day.
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Nov 8, 20216 min read


Update: New Residential Investment, Fortress & Softbank
The good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.
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Nov 3, 20217 min read


Three Questions for Chairman Powell
Look for the FOMC to act early and go big in terms of forward repurchase agreements at the first sign of liquidity stress.
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Oct 25, 20216 min read


Update: Ocwen & New Residential
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we compare two major players in the residential mortgage servicing space, New...
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Feb 11, 20218 min read


Outlook 2021: Financials & Credit Markets
New issue volumes in all of the major securities asset classes other than Treasury debt are trending lower as 2021 begins....
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Dec 28, 20208 min read


The Myth of GSE Release
The prospective ejection of the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, from government control seems finally to be dead for the next four years.
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Nov 27, 20204 min read
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