April 29, 2023 | Premium Service | As we watch yet another large regional bank head for failure with First Republic Bank (FRC), we return to the relatively blissful world of mortgage lending and servicing. There is not much lending at present in the world of 1-4 family mortgages, so most firms are relying on servicing income to carry the load on earnings. The big concern: future mortgage delinquency rates.
Penny Mac Financial (PFSI) and Mr. Cooper (COOP) reported and both firms managed to deliver good results despite the dismal state of the secondary mortgage industry. Estimates of production for 2023 continue to fall, although Q1 2023 will hopefully be the low for this cycle. Our mortgage surveillance list is shown below: