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The Institutional Risk Analyst


WGA Bank Top 100+ | Large Banks Retreat, Small Banks Rise
The big story nobody is discussing is the fact that large banks led by JPM, BAC and TFC continue to sell off briskly
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Sep 11, 20245 min read


Who Leads the Asset Gatherers? | SCHW, MS, GS, AMP, RJF & SF
The larger banks led the way in January and February, but today the top 25 names in terms of total return include many smaller banks.
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Jul 3, 20247 min read


Assume Loss Given Default > 100% | PennyMac & Western Alliance Bank
Q: What do Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank and New York Community Bank have in common? Auditor, KPMG.
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Feb 4, 202410 min read


Does PacWest + Banc of California + Warburg Pincus = Value?
The Q2 2023 disclosure for PACW suggests an institution that is bleeding cash and operating in extremis...
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Sep 18, 20237 min read


Update: Western Alliance Bancorp
With industry losses on every loan closed well north of 200 bp, you might ask yourself why WAL would still be buying conventional loans.
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Aug 9, 20235 min read


Banks, Commercial Real Estate & Credit
The Fed's 5.5% increase in short-term interest rates has thrown the pricing for trillions of dollars in real estate into disarray.
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May 17, 20235 min read


Fed Asymmetry Threatens Credit Crisis
The price volatility injected into markets by the Fed is a primary reason why the FDIC cannot easily find buyers for smaller banks.
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May 15, 20236 min read


Banks, Interest Rates & Fed Chairs
Imagine how President Joe Biden will react if Chair Powell needs to announce formal limits on access to US bank deposits.
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May 4, 20234 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper & PennyMac Financial
Both PFSI and COOP are navigating the current market well, but we have questions about where the former is headed.
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Apr 30, 20236 min read


The Bank Deposit Run Is Not Over
The funding crisis affecting US banks is not over and very definitely not limited to smaller banks.
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Apr 19, 20237 min read


Winners & Losers in the New Gilded Age
Mark Twain called Washington ''the grand old benevolent National Asylum for the Helpless'' in his classic "The Gilded Age."
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Mar 21, 20235 min read


Equity Market Valuations & Quantitative Tightening
The reduction in the Fed's balance sheet is the largest ever margin call on equity exposures of all descriptions.
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May 23, 20227 min read


Update: Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL) and Silvergate Corp (SI)
There are virtually no conventional lenders in the US today that are profitable when the sell a loan into the secondary market.
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Apr 22, 20226 min read


Profile: Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL)
WAL is one the best performing small banks in the US based upon equity market valuations, profits and growth rates
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Oct 22, 20215 min read


Interview: Tom Showalter on Perfecting the Lending Process
We speak with a revolutionary in the world of lending, Tom Showalter, Founder and CEO of Candor Technology.
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Oct 19, 20218 min read


Bank Earnings Setup: Rebound to 2020
Many of the better managed financials that we track have become sellers of assets rather than buyers in the past several months.
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Oct 12, 20216 min read


Banks & REITs Fly as Fundamentals Weaken
If we told you that a group of banks and REITs outperformed fintech stocks during the first nine months of 2021, what would you say?
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Sep 7, 20215 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q2 2021: Lower Earnings Ahead
If you back reserve releases out of Q1 2021 bank results, revenues and earnings were down and trend is headed lower due to QE
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Jun 3, 202110 min read


Forbearance, Shrinking NIM & Prepayments Menace US Financials
Simply stated, US banks are twice as expensive as they were a year ago looking at earnings and assets....
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Apr 12, 20216 min read


Western Alliance + AmeriHome = Big Possibilities
We have long advocated the idea of an independent mortgage bank (IMB) combining with a strong regional lender
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Feb 22, 20215 min read
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