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The Institutional Risk Analyst


Update: Rocket Companies and United Wholesale Mortgage
Growing numbers of investors are burned by mortgage stocks. Big question: Will the industry snap back due to now falling interest rates?
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Aug 16, 20215 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper & New Residential Investment
The big surge in income and net worth caused by the FOMC last year is rapidly ending. Winter has returned to mortgage land...
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Aug 9, 20215 min read


Profile: Blend Labs, Inc ("BLND")
Is BLND worth more than RKT, or entrenched data monopolies and solution providers such as BKI or even CLGX?
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Jun 30, 20217 min read


Icons of Meme Investing
Fed Chairman Jay Powell effectively is short an equity put option to the world...
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Jun 8, 20217 min read


Update: Rocket Companies & United Wholesale Mortgage
We view RKT's refusal to provide this material information to investors as a significant omission in its public disclosure...
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May 14, 20216 min read


Is XRP a Security? And Is Everything About FOMO?
Whether you are chasing alpha in stocks or buying crypto tokens or making non-agency mortgage loans, the maddening crowd is FOMO...
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May 12, 20215 min read


Update: Commercial, Residential Loans & MSRs
We continue to believe that issuers and funds should be accumulating conventional servicing. Rates bottomed in February...
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Apr 5, 202113 min read


Nonbanks Face Labyrinth of Risk from COVID Loans
Given that IMBs now service two-thirds of all 1-4 family residential mortgage loans, the risk to the nonbanks from COVID is growing...
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Mar 29, 20218 min read


Outlook 2021: Financials & Credit Markets
New issue volumes in all of the major securities asset classes other than Treasury debt are trending lower as 2021 begins....
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Dec 28, 20208 min read


Nonbank Update: PennyMac Financial Services
There is no actual disclosure from PSFI as to exactly how much of the firm’s default advances are being financed with bondholder funds
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Nov 23, 20207 min read


Nonbank Update: Rocket Companies
Because of forward liquidity and credit concerns, the window for IMBs to tap the public equity markets appears to have closed for now
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Nov 12, 20207 min read


The Bear Case for Mortgage Lenders
This week we make the bear case for the housing sector as several more large mortgage issuers announce IPOs....
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Oct 5, 202011 min read
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