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Interview: Lee Smith, Flagstar Bank
We expect to see a lot more M&A activity over the next 12 – 18 months, as that’s the only way for some players to grow share.
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Aug 23, 20217 min read


Fed Chairman Jay Powell as RobinHood
There is, after all, no free lunch for investors when the Fed is serving the thin meal of Financial Repression
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Aug 19, 20216 min read


Update: Rocket Companies and United Wholesale Mortgage
Growing numbers of investors are burned by mortgage stocks. Big question: Will the industry snap back due to now falling interest rates?
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Aug 16, 20215 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper & New Residential Investment
The big surge in income and net worth caused by the FOMC last year is rapidly ending. Winter has returned to mortgage land...
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Aug 9, 20215 min read


Profile: Blend Labs, Inc ("BLND")
Is BLND worth more than RKT, or entrenched data monopolies and solution providers such as BKI or even CLGX?
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Jun 30, 20217 min read


Icons of Meme Investing
Fed Chairman Jay Powell effectively is short an equity put option to the world...
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Jun 8, 20217 min read


Update: Rocket Companies & United Wholesale Mortgage
We view RKT's refusal to provide this material information to investors as a significant omission in its public disclosure...
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May 14, 20216 min read


Is XRP a Security? And Is Everything About FOMO?
Whether you are chasing alpha in stocks or buying crypto tokens or making non-agency mortgage loans, the maddening crowd is FOMO...
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May 12, 20215 min read


Update: Commercial, Residential Loans & MSRs
We continue to believe that issuers and funds should be accumulating conventional servicing. Rates bottomed in February...
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Apr 5, 202113 min read


Nonbanks Face Labyrinth of Risk from COVID Loans
Given that IMBs now service two-thirds of all 1-4 family residential mortgage loans, the risk to the nonbanks from COVID is growing...
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Mar 29, 20218 min read


Outlook 2021: Financials & Credit Markets
New issue volumes in all of the major securities asset classes other than Treasury debt are trending lower as 2021 begins....
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Dec 28, 20208 min read


Nonbank Update: PennyMac Financial Services
There is no actual disclosure from PSFI as to exactly how much of the firm’s default advances are being financed with bondholder funds
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Nov 23, 20207 min read


Nonbank Update: Rocket Companies
Because of forward liquidity and credit concerns, the window for IMBs to tap the public equity markets appears to have closed for now
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Nov 12, 20207 min read


The Bear Case for Mortgage Lenders
This week we make the bear case for the housing sector as several more large mortgage issuers announce IPOs....
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Oct 5, 202011 min read
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