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SoftBank as Systemic Event; Update: Charles Schwab & Co
The public behavior and decision-making processes of SoftBank suggest that the organization is in trouble.
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Sep 27, 20239 min read


FSOC Frets About Nonbank Risk; Goldman Sachs Stepping Back?
GS has the weakest position in terms of funding of the top-ten banks and no real narrative for the business post-Marcus.
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Sep 21, 20236 min read


Bank Industry Review & Survey Q3 2023
The US banking industry has seen now two consecutive down quarters for net income caused by the Fed’s massive open market operations
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Sep 11, 20233 min read


Update: U.S. Bancorp & Goldman Sachs
We expect to see USB trading at a discount to JPM and Peer Group 1 until the bank improves its operating leverage to pre-COVID levels.
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Jul 20, 20235 min read


Update: GS, MS, SCHW, RJF & SF
If you agree with our view that the short-selling of the stock was mistaken, then the discount for SCHW is unwarranted.
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Jun 21, 20235 min read


The Bank Deposit Run Is Not Over
The funding crisis affecting US banks is not over and very definitely not limited to smaller banks.
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Apr 19, 20237 min read


Will the FOMC Break the Financials?
Will the market risk created by quantitative tightening (QT) tip over a large bank or nonbank financial firm?
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Oct 17, 20227 min read


Large Banks: QT Winners & Losers
A number of readers have asked us to talk about the winners and losers among large banks in the current interest rate environment.
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Oct 2, 202210 min read


Universal Banks | Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Raymond James & Stifel
Total noncore funding at GS was over $700 billion at the end of Q1 2022 vs $321 billion for MS.
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Aug 15, 20229 min read


Profile: Morgan Stanley vs Goldman Sachs
Simply stated, Morgan Stanley has a much more diverse and sustainable business model than Goldman Sachs...
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Apr 17, 20226 min read


Profile: Raymond James Financial
RJF is one of those quiet high-performer banks in the investment world that few understand but many own in LT portfolio
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Nov 18, 20214 min read


Profile: Bank of America
We think that a strong case can be made that to enhance shareholder value, Moynihan and the BAC board ought to spin-off Merrill Lynch...
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Jan 4, 202110 min read


Bank Profiles: Morgan Stanley vs Goldman Sachs
Not all AUM is created equal. Even though GS claims to have twice the AUM of MS, it makes less than half the revenue....
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Nov 2, 20209 min read


Good Banks, Bad Banks
May 9, 2017 | In an October 1925, speech in Birmingham, Michigan, Senator James Couzens , the business partner of Henry Ford, sketched out a vision of "good" businessmen, who are ethical, and "bad" businessmen, who are unscrupulous in their dealings with the public, the ultimate consumer. If you protect the markets from fraud, Couzens argued, you ultimately protect the consumer. The optimistic assumption in the 1920s was that industries could be exhorted and led to ethical
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May 9, 20176 min read
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