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David Stevens: The FHFA's Epic Failure with COVID19
In this issue of the Institutional Risk Analyst, we feature a comment by David Stevens, CEO of Mountain Lake Consulting and former...
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Apr 26, 20208 min read


Waiting for the COVID19 Credit Wave
We anticipate that net loss rates will rise quickly from the historic lows seen over the past several years to and even exceeding 100% loss
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Apr 24, 20205 min read


Michael Bright: The Fannie-Freddie Forbearance Bailout
The FHFA agenda is tantamount to a bailout for the GSEs at the expense of bank and nonbank servicers
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Apr 19, 20204 min read


Interview: James Koutoulas of Typhon Capital Management
What I emphasize to our team is stick to your knitting. If you are a grain trader, your job is to trade grain spreads.
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Apr 15, 20206 min read


Bank Earnings Armageddon
New York | This week, The Institutional Risk Analyst releases our Q1 2020 bank earnings report, which is for sale in our online store. In...
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Apr 15, 20203 min read


Calabria's FHFA Fans the Fires of Contagion
The current mess in the housing sector is entirely the fault of Washington....
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Apr 5, 20205 min read


Servicer Advances and Mortgage Payment Holidays
New York | In our March 22nd issue (“What Must Be Done to Support Housing Finance?”), we talked about what needed to happen in the market...
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Mar 28, 20206 min read


Q1 2020 Bank Earnings: Pondering the Unthinkable
As Q1 2020 ends, the global banking industry faces a world that has been completely changed by the economic impact of the Wuhan virus,...
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Mar 26, 20204 min read


What Must Be Done to Support Housing Finance?
New York | As the US financial markets get ready for another volatile week, leaders in the mortgage finance sector spent the weekend in...
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Mar 22, 20204 min read


Washington Should Play the Housing Card
The Fed can very directly add liquidity to the domestic scene by initiating a massive program to purchase agency and government mortgages
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Mar 17, 20203 min read


For Powell, it's the Agony of the Convexity
“It is not learning, grace nor gear
Nor easy meat nor drink
But bitter pinch of pain and fear
That makes creation think”
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Mar 15, 20206 min read


Panic, Liquidity and Ratings
The panic in the media is having outsized consequences for people, companies and society.
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Mar 9, 20205 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q1 2020
Q: Is the Federal Open Market Committee killing America's banks? A: Yes
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Mar 4, 20201 min read


As Stocks Swoon, Residential Mortgages Surge
In a funny way the coronavirus or COVID19 took some excess air out of the obvious bubble in US equities.
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Mar 1, 20205 min read


QE & Dollar Debt Deflation
New York | The rally in risk-free bonds is quickly rendering irrelevant the policy direction of the Federal Open Market Committee. We’ve...
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Feb 25, 20205 min read


Dark Towers: Deutsche Bank, Donald Trump, and an Epic Trail of Destruction
Neither officials of the Federal Reserve Board, the US Treasury nor other agencies have ever been called to account for Deutsche Bank
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Feb 16, 20206 min read


Profile: Bank of America's Trouble is Asset Returns
We have a neutral risk assessment on BAC and will be prepared to downgrade the name should asset returns continue to fall.
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Feb 10, 20204 min read


So Goldman & Citi Like Retail Banking? Really?
New York | Last week, Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) held its long awaited investor day event. As GS says on its web site: “Our senior...
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Feb 3, 20205 min read


Systemic Risk, Real or Imagined
Washington | Last week, we released a paper rebutting the 2019 report by the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which claims...
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Jan 28, 20204 min read


As Argentina Sinks, Investors Ponder Uruguay
New York | In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we ponder the unfolding ninth sovereign debt default of progressive...
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Jan 21, 20205 min read
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