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Q4 Earnings Update: JPM, Citi & WFC
Unless the FOMC relents and eases up on its massive purchases of Treasury securities and MBS, bank earnings are likely to decline further
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Jan 17, 20215 min read


Interest Rates, Spreads & Reserve Bank Presidents
Whenever interest rates rise, the amen chorus on Wall Street starts to warble about the benefits to banks.
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Jan 14, 20214 min read


Update: Square as a Bank
The evolution of fintech companies into regulated banks has implications for public market valuations...
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Jan 10, 20218 min read


Don't Assume Dollar Market Stability
The assumption of a stable financial and economic transition in the US during 2021 is perhaps the greatest risk facing the global markets.
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Jan 7, 20215 min read


Profile: Bank of America
We think that a strong case can be made that to enhance shareholder value, Moynihan and the BAC board ought to spin-off Merrill Lynch...
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Jan 4, 202110 min read


Outlook 2021: Financials & Credit Markets
New issue volumes in all of the major securities asset classes other than Treasury debt are trending lower as 2021 begins....
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Dec 28, 20208 min read


Joe Biden Must Fire FHFA Director Calabria
If you sent somebody to deliberately sabotage the US housing market, you could not find a better perpetrator than Director Calabria.
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Dec 21, 20206 min read


Wag the Fed: Will the TGA force Rates Negative?
The risk presented by changes in behavior compelled by COVID have only begun to emerge into view in urban commercial real estate...
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Dec 14, 20207 min read


Is there a Bull Case for US Bank Stocks?
In this edition of The IRA Bank Book for Q4 2020, we ask a basic question: Is there a bull case for US banks?
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Dec 10, 202013 min read


Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Blinks on LIBOR
LIBOR is a price. SOFR is an economists’ wet dream one that lacks actual utility and substance...
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Dec 3, 20204 min read


Nonbank Update: PennyMac Financial Services
There is no actual disclosure from PSFI as to exactly how much of the firm’s default advances are being financed with bondholder funds
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Nov 23, 20207 min read


PNC + BBVA USA = Value Creation
By acquiring the $100 billion asset BBVA USA, PNC is doing the Federal Reserve Board and other regulators a favor.
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Nov 17, 20204 min read


Nonbank Update: Rocket Companies
Because of forward liquidity and credit concerns, the window for IMBs to tap the public equity markets appears to have closed for now
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Nov 12, 20207 min read


Post-Election Liquidity Risk: FSOC and the CSBS
An equally informal group of researchers within the Federal Reserve System is also in the vanguard of those warning about nonbank risk...
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Nov 5, 20207 min read


Bank Profiles: Morgan Stanley vs Goldman Sachs
Not all AUM is created equal. Even though GS claims to have twice the AUM of MS, it makes less than half the revenue....
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Nov 2, 20209 min read


A Conversation With David Kotok
Next we present "Alien vs Predator" by comparing Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) with Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS)
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Oct 28, 20209 min read


Humphrey Hawkins: Inflation & Inequality
Congress needs to reconsider the dual-mandate contained in the 1978 Humphrey-Hawkins legislation...
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Oct 26, 20207 min read


Bank Profile: Wells Fargo & Co
In this edition of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we assign a neutral risk rating to Wells Fargo & Co, the fourth largest US bank
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Oct 19, 202011 min read


Top Five US Banks: Q3 2020 Earnings Setup
There is a reason why the smart money on Wall Street is creating new strategies focused on non-performing loans...
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Oct 12, 20207 min read


Bank Profile: Ally Financial Inc
ALLY has all of the required attributes for inclusion in The IRA Bank Dead Pool....
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Sep 28, 202011 min read
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