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The Institutional Risk Analyst


The Bull Case for Large Banks
If you believe that there is no recession coming in 2025, what is the logical response from an informed investment professional?
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Oct 1, 20246 min read


Interest Rates, Fintech & MSRs
Regulatory skepticism about mortgage assets could effect financing rates for lenders, which means higher mortgage rates for consumers.
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Oct 26, 20239 min read


SoftBank as Systemic Event; Update: Charles Schwab & Co
The public behavior and decision-making processes of SoftBank suggest that the organization is in trouble.
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Sep 27, 20239 min read


Update: Goldman Sachs + Citigroup; Interest Rates Higher Longer?
We continue to believe that combining Citi and GS may make sense in terms of consolidating two capital markets businesses
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Aug 23, 20236 min read


Is USA still a "AAA" Credit? Really? Update: Rithm Capital
When interest rates eventually fall those late vintage mortgage loans with 6% coupons will evaporate like spring snow in the sunshine
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May 10, 20238 min read


Atlas Stumbles, Silvergate Wallows; 360 Mortgage v. Fortress (and RITM)
Are nonbank mortgage firms a risk to Ginnie Mae? Or is it really the other way around?
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Mar 6, 20238 min read


Mortgage Wrap; PennyMac Financial, Rithm Capital & MSRs
We suspect that the IMBs will be sellers of conventional assets to defend their Ginnie Mae MSRs. Banks may be buyers of conventional assets
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Feb 9, 20237 min read


New Residential Pivots, Gets "Rithm"
NRZ must pay $400 million to Fortress to end the relationship with the external manager, a final act of squeezing NRZ shareholders
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Jun 22, 20225 min read


Update: Crypto Frauds and Fintech Dreams
Q: What do Elon Musk and Masayoshi Son have in common? Gigantic margin loans...
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May 18, 20226 min read


The Residential Mortgage Finance Top Twenty Seven
Who is going to acquire and restructure Blend Labs (BLND) before this newbie-fintech-something runs out of cash?
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Apr 4, 20222 min read


Update: New Residential Investment, Fortress & Softbank
The good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.
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Nov 3, 20217 min read


Greensill, Wirecard, Deutsche Bank & the Rising Tide of Financial Fraud
“Time to turn on the lights and find the rest of the cockroaches”
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Mar 15, 20215 min read
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