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Interview: Alex Pollock on the Fed and Gold | Part I
“A higher money price of gold is best read as a symptom of a weaker currency. It isn't really the gold going up, it's the dollar or fiat currency in general going down.” That seems to me to be right. And then he says, “The value of gold lies in being independent from political discretion. Fiat money is a claim on the future discretion of politicians.” Isn't that good?
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Oct 311 min read


Should Treasury Accept Debt for Tax Payments? Bank OZK Update
When President Donald Trump says the Fed should cut interest rates, he is probably right – at least speaking from the perspective of the real estate markets.
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Apr 287 min read


Fear & Loathing on Wall Street: GS, MS, AMP, SCHW, RJF, SF
Some of the largest banks by assets have dropped from the top quartile into the bottom half of the distribution for the top 100 banks
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Apr 88 min read


Update: BMO + Bank of the West = ?
BMO arguably has the weakest reserve position among the large Canadian banks....
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Jun 17, 20246 min read


Faux Bear Raids on OZK and AX? But More Trouble Ahead for CRE Equity
We remind readers that unrealized losses on securities are still a bigger problem for banks than CRE.
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Jun 7, 20247 min read


A Rising Floor on Interest Rates? | Update: Bank OZK
Only in the strange confines of Washington do you still find people who think that the federal budget deficit is not a problem.
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Apr 7, 20247 min read


Commercial Real Estate & Bank OZK
Banks that do not aggressively reprice liabilities and assets as OZK did in Q1 2023 may be left behind.
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Apr 24, 20236 min read


Update: U.S. Bank vs. Bank OZK; Q3 2022 Earnings Setup
How will this above-peer performer from Little Rock do in a Fed-induced recession that rivals 2008 in terms of market losses?
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Oct 12, 20227 min read


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
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Sep 9, 20216 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q2 2021: Lower Earnings Ahead
If you back reserve releases out of Q1 2021 bank results, revenues and earnings were down and trend is headed lower due to QE
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Jun 3, 202110 min read


Profile: Bank OZK -- It's All About the NIM
Significantly, OZK predicts shrinking CRE loan volumes in 2021....
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Feb 3, 20216 min read
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