The Institutional Risk Analyst

It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis. 

How is Goldman going to extricate itself from this profoundly unattractive business with AAPL without destroying Apple Card?

The Citi decision to exit mortgage servicing perhaps made sense in 2017, but today not so much.

Banks lose money every single day by holding onto a below market security from the 2019-2021 period.

Notice that the Fed stress test is silent on trillions of dollars in mark-to-market losses facing US banks from COVID-era securities

The Fed bank stress tests are another sign of magical thinking in Washington.

Citigroup leads the pack with a net loss rate of 133 basis points (bp) that is almost five times the average for Peer Group 1 at 27 bp.

Based upon the three-month returns through the end of Q1 2024, NYCB ranked at the bottom of the 108 public banks in Peer Group 1.

We see higher credit costs, narrowing NIM and still rising funding costs squeezing the banking industry in Q1 2024...

FDIC Chairman Gruenberg ought to tell New York State to take over the rent controlled loans from Signature, NYCB and other lenders...

Not all banks or companies are the same and not all follow the herd.

Sad to say, the business at NYCB is doing better than you'd think reading the bank's absurd disclosure.

If Fraser cannot articulate a coherent reason to keep the business together, a breakup may be the most sensible strategy.

Look for falling rates sooner rather than later as the Fed and other agencies prepare to resolve more bank failures in 2024.

Citigroup picked up almost 10 points of book value since the end of Q3 2023.

Simply stated, with T-bills trading significantly above the yield on RRPs, there is no reason for MMFs to leave cash at the Fed

COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...

If you conduct a fire sale analysis of BAC's balance sheet as of Q3 2023, the result more than wipes out the bank's tangible equity

Bank earnings can be best described as cautiously mediocre, but as usual the Street proclaimed that three banks "beat the estimates"

The public behavior and decision-making processes of SoftBank suggest that the organization is in trouble.