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Update: Guild Mortgage
In our view, Guild Mortgage is one of the highest quality businesses in the residential mortgage space.
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Mar 12, 20224 min read


A Tale of Two Mortgage SPACs: UWMC and FOA
Why did FOA write down $1.4 billion in intangible equity, yet UWM took no similar write down?
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Mar 9, 20224 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q1 2022 | Credit Risk Returns
We add a new dimension of risk to the normalization of US bank earnings with the Russian war against Ukraine.
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Mar 7, 202211 min read


Profile: Toronto Dominion Bank
At a time when many US banks are reducing footprint in retail banking, TD is buying more.
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Mar 3, 20225 min read


When "Force Majeure" Isn't Quite
The imposition of sanctions on Russia is not as comprehensive as some press reports suggest.
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Mar 1, 20223 min read


Update: HMPT, RKT, NRZ & UPST
UPST has seen its valuation cut by 60% since March of last year, when its common equity traded at a mere 31x book value.
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Feb 25, 20227 min read


MEME Stocks & Lithium Batteries
If Henry Ford lived today, would he build electric cars? With lithium batteries?
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Feb 21, 20226 min read


Profile: Silvergate Capital Corp (SI)
SI’s management team is taking advantage of the narrative in Washington, which is that stable coins will be a bank only product
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Feb 16, 20226 min read


The Curse of Humphrey Hawkins
If you consider QE “stimulus” inflationary, then Fed policy actually accelerated inflation in the November-January period.
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Feb 14, 20226 min read


Profile: NexBank Capital, Inc.
Among the ten largest mortgage specialization banks, NexBank had among the best equity returns in Q3 2021
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Feb 10, 20226 min read


News: Improving Liquidity for Ginnie Mae Servicing Assets
Collateralized lending in the US was essentially impossible outside of banks from 1925 through the mid-1970s...
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Feb 9, 20222 min read


Update: PennyMac Financial and loanDepot
February 7, 2022 | Last week saw the start of the reporting season for publicly listed mortgage companies, with loanDepot (LDI) and...
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Feb 7, 20224 min read


Chris Abate: The Return of Private Mortgages
We see a bright future ahead for the private label loan market....
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Jan 31, 20224 min read


Profile: Citigroup (C)
Why does this bank exist? What market does it serve and how will it grow in the future?
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Jan 27, 20226 min read


Stocks Waver, Spreads Widen -- A Little
Spreads have a long way to go before we return to the crisis levels of Q1 2020. And we are not nearly ready to go shopping.
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Jan 24, 20224 min read


Powell, Yellen, Bernanke and Post-QE Deflation
The Powell FOMC has lost all credibility when it comes to financial markets or managing inflation and independence from the US Treasury
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Jan 21, 20225 min read


Profile: Cross River Bank
Bottom line, when a bank seems to be doing much better than other banks, there is usually a reason and that reason is almost always bad
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Jan 19, 20226 min read


Q4 Earnings | Big Banks & QE
In the short-run rising interest rates and spreads will help bank earnings. But where is the next credit hot spot?
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Jan 12, 20228 min read


Interest Rates, Stocks & MSRs
We think the chart below from FRED is worth any amount of words on the impact of QE on equity market valuations.
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Jan 6, 20225 min read


Mortgage Crises Yesterday and Today
As we move into Q4 2021 earnings, keep your eyes peeled for news of restructuring of urban commercial commercial and multifamily properties
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Jan 4, 20226 min read
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