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Banks and the Fed's Duration Trap | 50
Banks and the Fed's Duration Trap
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Nov 30, 20176 min read


The Yellen Put & Market Risk
The Yellen Put & Market Risk
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Nov 26, 20177 min read


The Interview: Leland Miller on China & the Coming Trade War
The Interview: Leland Miller on China & the Coming Trade War
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Nov 12, 20178 min read


The Volcker Rule, JPMorgan & the London Whale
The Volcker Rule, JPMorgan & the London Whale
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Aug 7, 20176 min read


Europe's Banking Dysfunction Worsens
“While the US and the UK have been mired in political chaos this year, the EU has enjoyed improved economic conditions and some political windfalls. The question now is whether this good news will inspire long-needed EU and eurozone reforms, or merely fuel complacency – and thus set the stage for another crisis down the road.”
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Jul 31, 20177 min read


Bitcoin: Fake Asset or Security? | 30
Bitcoin: Fake Asset or Security? | 30
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Jul 26, 20176 min read


US Equities: Unwinding the Yellen Leveraged Buyout
US Equities: Unwinding the Yellen Leveraged Buyout
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Jul 9, 20176 min read


Inflation Trade: AMZN + WFM
Last week’s action by the Fed was an effort to restore normalcy, but in the context of extraordinary action by the central bank. When you tell markets that the risk free rate is zero, it has profound implications for the cost of debt and equity, and resulting in different asset allocation decisions. Ending this regime also has profound implications for investors and markets.
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Jun 19, 20176 min read


Buy Britain, Sell Europe | 15
“Europe is now a continent of widespread economic misery, of financial collapse, of disappearing faith in ‘mainstream’ political parties and rising support for ‘extremist” parties, of a loss of sovereignty and thus of legitimacy and democratic control, and of the destruction of law, both domestic and international, by the judicially larcenous European Court of Justice (sic).” Bernard Connally Rotten Heart of Europe: The Dirty War for Europe's Money 1997/2012 May 16, 2017 |
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May 16, 20178 min read


Dollar SuperCycle Ends
May 13, 2017 | What do the US residential housing market, the stock market and the dollar all have in common? All of these markets represent bubbles created and driven by the aggressive social engineering of the Federal Open Market Committee. Will live in an age of asset bubbles rather than true economic growth. The investment world is skewed by the latest round of monetary policy experimentation by the Fed, including years of artificially low interest rates and trillion
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May 3, 20174 min read


The Economics of Content: Michael Whalen
Over the past decade we have periodically talked to our brother Michael Whalen (MW), Emmy award winning composer, film editor, and now agent to a growing list of performers, about the rapidly changing state of the world of content. With theater admissions and revenues flat, the final break in the Old World of Hollywood came several weeks ago with the major studios announcing a new model for releasing content online almost immediately after the theatrical release. Will we eve
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Apr 3, 20176 min read


Why Does David Einhorn Like Janet Yellen's Auto Bubble?
David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital recently proposed that General Motors (NYSE:GM) divide its common equity into two parts, one that pays a dividend and another that captures the appreciation potential of the automaker. This is a demonstrably bad idea from one of the smarter people on Wall Street, thus we ask: What Is David’s game?
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Mar 31, 20174 min read


How the SEC killed Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM)
Below follows an extended soliloquy by my friend and mentor Fred Feldkamp, who was a partner at Foley & Lardner in Detroit, about how the SEC’s changes to Rule 2-a7 in 1998 caused the failure of LTCM.
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Mar 25, 20175 min read
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