top of page


D. Ricardo on Private Credit & the Real Risk to Financial Markets
“Private debt” gating retail investors is the whipping boy du jour, but not the canary in the coal mine, nor the real problem, nor the real risk. Over-investment and malinvestment in things like data centers or unprofitable business models that require cheap money and are based on hype and suspension of common sense, excessive government spending, inflation and currency debasement, populism and socialist rhetoric manifesting itself in real policy and tax decisions, these are
-
Apr 206 min read


Small Banks Have Big CRE Risk? Really? | Bank of America Update
The net losses disclosed by BAC and the other large banks at the end of Q4 2023 are significantly understated...
-
Mar 25, 20247 min read


Credit Suisse\UBS to Apollo: Bye, Bye
UBS ultimately seems intent upon running off the remaining US mortgage assets, including a few billion in Ginnie Mae MSR financings
-
Oct 2, 20236 min read


Bank Industry Review & Survey Q3 2023
The US banking industry has seen now two consecutive down quarters for net income caused by the Fed’s massive open market operations
-
Sep 11, 20233 min read


Reverse Mortgage Bankruptcy Festers; IRA Housing Outlook
The Biden Administration has no real strategy for addressing the growing stress in the market for government insured mortgages
-
Aug 14, 202310 min read


Update: GS, MS, SCHW, RJF & SF
If you agree with our view that the short-selling of the stock was mistaken, then the discount for SCHW is unwarranted.
-
Jun 21, 20235 min read


Winners & Losers in the New Gilded Age
Mark Twain called Washington ''the grand old benevolent National Asylum for the Helpless'' in his classic "The Gilded Age."
-
Mar 21, 20235 min read


Citigroup: Breaking Up is Hard to Do
Citi has drifted through years of government ownership and weak leadership by the board of directors
-
Apr 22, 20216 min read
bottom of page


.png)