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The Institutional Risk Analyst


Update: Block Inc, Nu Holdings & Guild Holdings
Notice that SQ co-founder Jack Dorsey styles himself as "block head" in the corp roster, a silly affectation that does not help the stock
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Nov 15, 20247 min read


Stocks Swoon, Retail Credit Rises: PYPL, SQ & ARES
The rotation away from institutional investors to retail funding source for the $1.7 trillion direct lending market is an ominous sign
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Aug 2, 20248 min read


End of Fintech? Biden GSE Release?
Is AFRM maturing from a hot new fintech entrant to a familiar face headed for a bank license?? Yikes.
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Dec 31, 20237 min read


Update: Flying Fintechs & Zombie Banks
COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...
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Nov 29, 20236 min read


Is Stripe Worth $55 Billion? Really?
CEO Patrick Collison is guiding investors and the media to a $200 million profit in 2023. Selective disclosure??
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Feb 21, 20236 min read


Crypto Crash Signal End of Fintech?
Despite all the hyperbole, the great crypto fraud was a small game, like the party poker that many crypto enthusiasts share in common
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Nov 25, 20229 min read


Update: Switch Inc.
SWCH is performing above the rate of total returns for the data center REITs, according to Nareit
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Sep 29, 20224 min read


The FOMC Embraces Debt Deflation
The deflation of 2023 is about marking down all types of real assets to the price level that equates with a non-QE world.
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Aug 10, 20225 min read


Update: Guild Mortgage & Block Inc.
Since Block has not yet changed its ticker symbol, perhaps Mr. Dorsey will eventually change the company's name back to Square...
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Aug 7, 20227 min read


Where is Value in Fintech?
Take the financials and add some unicorn dust in terms of innovation to the mix and perhaps a double-digit PE ratio for PYPL makes sense.
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May 2, 20225 min read


Update: Block Inc. & Upstart Holdings
Is SQ really, REALLY worth 25x book value? Our respectful answer to that question is no.
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Dec 22, 20219 min read


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
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Sep 9, 20216 min read


Banks & REITs Fly as Fundamentals Weaken
If we told you that a group of banks and REITs outperformed fintech stocks during the first nine months of 2021, what would you say?
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Sep 7, 20215 min read


Profile: Blend Labs, Inc ("BLND")
Is BLND worth more than RKT, or entrenched data monopolies and solution providers such as BKI or even CLGX?
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Jun 30, 20217 min read


Update: Square as a Bank
The evolution of fintech companies into regulated banks has implications for public market valuations...
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Jan 10, 20218 min read
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