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The Institutional Risk Analyst


Charles Schwab Unwinds the QE Trade
Rising interest rates are not good for bank earnings or bank equity valuations.
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Oct 17, 20234 min read


SoftBank as Systemic Event; Update: Charles Schwab & Co
The public behavior and decision-making processes of SoftBank suggest that the organization is in trouble.
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Sep 27, 20239 min read


Will Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Raise Guarantee Fees?
With a 75bp average total gfee, would the market for private label MBS return? Or would conventional lending volumes simply crater?
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Sep 25, 20236 min read


FSOC Frets About Nonbank Risk; Goldman Sachs Stepping Back?
GS has the weakest position in terms of funding of the top-ten banks and no real narrative for the business post-Marcus.
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Sep 21, 20236 min read


Bank Industry Review & Survey Q3 2023
The US banking industry has seen now two consecutive down quarters for net income caused by the Fed’s massive open market operations
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Sep 11, 20233 min read


Update: Goldman Sachs + Citigroup; Interest Rates Higher Longer?
We continue to believe that combining Citi and GS may make sense in terms of consolidating two capital markets businesses
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Aug 23, 20236 min read


Update: U.S. Bancorp & Goldman Sachs
We expect to see USB trading at a discount to JPM and Peer Group 1 until the bank improves its operating leverage to pre-COVID levels.
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Jul 20, 20235 min read


Update: GS, MS, SCHW, RJF & SF
If you agree with our view that the short-selling of the stock was mistaken, then the discount for SCHW is unwarranted.
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Jun 21, 20235 min read


The Bank Deposit Run Is Not Over
The funding crisis affecting US banks is not over and very definitely not limited to smaller banks.
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Apr 19, 20237 min read


Update: Charles Schwab (SCHW); Sagent Presentation
Most major banks grew larger during quantitative easing. Now many of these banks will shrink in terms of assets and also earnings in Q1 2023
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Apr 3, 20236 min read


Update: Truist, Charles Schwab, U.S. Bancorp & PNC Financial
The largest banks continue to serve as a haven for refugees from crypto fraud schemes and the fintech swoon, but are not cheap
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Jan 4, 20237 min read


Universal Banks | Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Raymond James & Stifel
Total noncore funding at GS was over $700 billion at the end of Q1 2022 vs $321 billion for MS.
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Aug 15, 20229 min read


Profile: Morgan Stanley vs Goldman Sachs
Simply stated, Morgan Stanley has a much more diverse and sustainable business model than Goldman Sachs...
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Apr 17, 20226 min read


Profile: Raymond James Financial
RJF is one of those quiet high-performer banks in the investment world that few understand but many own in LT portfolio
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Nov 18, 20214 min read


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
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Sep 9, 20216 min read
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