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The Institutional Risk Analyst


AIG Reflux: Private Equity Collapse Threatens US Insurers
Is the flow of toxic waste pouring from busted private equity portfolios into credit trades a threat to insurance companies? Yup.
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Apr 36 min read


Bank Earnings Setup: JPM, USB, WFC, BAC & Citi
Most of the banks in our surveillance group are down between 10% and 30% so far this year, but none of these are particularly cheap as yet
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Jun 29, 20228 min read


Profile: Wise Ltd (LSE:WISE)
WISE is a play on the relentless advance of technology that lowers costs and eventually forces change in the legacy world of banking and pay
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Jul 15, 20215 min read


Icons of Meme Investing
Fed Chairman Jay Powell effectively is short an equity put option to the world...
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Jun 8, 20217 min read


Lee Adler: Banks Are As Fragile As Ever
Every time there’s a critical problem in the banking system due to banker malfeasance, the Fed steps in to paper it over....
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Jun 1, 20214 min read


Interview: Ed Kane on Inflation & Disruption
This is a really bad time to be focused on macroeconomic data....
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Feb 25, 202110 min read


Wag the Fed: Will the TGA force Rates Negative?
The risk presented by changes in behavior compelled by COVID have only begun to emerge into view in urban commercial real estate...
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Dec 14, 20207 min read


Post-Election Liquidity Risk: FSOC and the CSBS
An equally informal group of researchers within the Federal Reserve System is also in the vanguard of those warning about nonbank risk...
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Nov 5, 20207 min read


Humphrey Hawkins: Inflation & Inequality
Congress needs to reconsider the dual-mandate contained in the 1978 Humphrey-Hawkins legislation...
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Oct 26, 20207 min read


Negative Returns are Now in US Mortgages
Don’t get distracted by the rising rate song from the Street. We don’t look for short or medium term interest rates to rise in the near term
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Oct 7, 20205 min read


Asset Inflation Soars as Deflation Persists
The deflationary impact of COVID continues to ripple through the global financial system.
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Sep 24, 20204 min read


Financial Repression and Inflation Targets
No matter who wins the presidential election in November, have no doubt that Chairman Powell is the most important man in town...
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Sep 14, 20204 min read


Asset Price Inflation with Capital Losses
The FOMC can accelerate lending, but it cannot ameliorate either the negative impact on credit or the torrent of loan prepayments...
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Sep 8, 20204 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q3 2020
Quarterly net income for all FDIC-insured commercial banks fell 70% YOY...
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Aug 31, 202012 min read
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