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The Institutional Risk Analyst


SOFI Technology Outperforms Bitcoin Three Times LTM
SOFI is up almost 300% while the Bitcoin futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are up less than 100%. Below we provide some thoughts on the banking group as we head into September.
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Aug 113 min read


Circle Internet Soars; BNPL FinTechs Rally as Recession Fades
The proliferation of low- or no-cost coin systems is ultimately negative for established players in nonbank finance and payments, including the major card issuers, as we discuss below. Still worried about interchange fees?
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Jun 87 min read


Update: Top Bank Asset Managers
As and when GS can exit the loss leading credit card relationship with AAPL, the performance of the business should improve significantly.
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Dec 30, 20248 min read


Inside the Private Credit Trade
Direct lenders are the pawnbrokers of the 21st Century for subprime commercial borrowers, usually firms financed via leveraged buyouts.
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Jun 4, 20246 min read


Winter is Coming in Bank Credit
If a bank has 6% debt to assets, what is the equity of the parent BHC worth?
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Sep 1, 20236 min read


Nonbanks Face Labyrinth of Risk from COVID Loans
Given that IMBs now service two-thirds of all 1-4 family residential mortgage loans, the risk to the nonbanks from COVID is growing...
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Mar 29, 20218 min read
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