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Circle Internet Soars; BNPL FinTechs Rally as Recession Fades
The proliferation of low- or no-cost coin systems is ultimately negative for established players in nonbank finance and payments, including the major card issuers, as we discuss below. Still worried about interchange fees?
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Jun 87 min read


Post-Trumpian Fintech Bounce: How High? How Long?
At one point last year, HOOD was up several hundred percent, but has given back much of those gains. Yet the leaders of our finance group have outperformed the broad market.
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May 126 min read


New & Old Names in Nonbank Finance
In dollar terms, the moves in 2023 were tiny vs the post March rally in 2020.
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Aug 21, 20247 min read


Then Old Media Became Redunzl
When will Disney decide to sell some or all of its streaming operations to keep the lights on at its theme parks?
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May 1, 20245 min read


Fear & Loathing in Credit; Update: PayPal Holdings
We think that the whole banking industry could be driven into multiple periods of loss as they divert income to loss provisions.
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Feb 8, 20247 min read


EVs Wane, Fintech Sputters & COF Dumps Commercial Mortgages
Now let’s take a look at how some members of the banking and fintech sector are doing in the first month of 2024.
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Jan 29, 20248 min read


End of Fintech? Biden GSE Release?
Is AFRM maturing from a hot new fintech entrant to a familiar face headed for a bank license?? Yikes.
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Dec 31, 20237 min read


Rates Rally Financials, But Credit Fears Remain
The key term for risk managers and investors in 2024 remains unchanged from this year: Volatility.
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Dec 15, 20237 min read


Update: Flying Fintechs & Zombie Banks
COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...
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Nov 29, 20236 min read


Interest Rates, Fintech & MSRs
Regulatory skepticism about mortgage assets could effect financing rates for lenders, which means higher mortgage rates for consumers.
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Oct 26, 20239 min read


Markets Affirm the Unbearable Lightness of Fintech
When you are in a big crowd, nothing else matters.
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Sep 7, 20235 min read


Commercial Real Estate & Bank OZK
Banks that do not aggressively reprice liabilities and assets as OZK did in Q1 2023 may be left behind.
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Apr 24, 20236 min read


Is Stripe Worth $55 Billion? Really?
CEO Patrick Collison is guiding investors and the media to a $200 million profit in 2023. Selective disclosure??
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Feb 21, 20236 min read


Crypto Crash Signal End of Fintech?
Despite all the hyperbole, the great crypto fraud was a small game, like the party poker that many crypto enthusiasts share in common
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Nov 25, 20229 min read


Nonbank Lenders: The Dead Pool
With the Fed doubling down on rate increases, the pressure on all manner of nonbank finance companies and fintech platforms is growing.
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Oct 6, 20226 min read
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