top of page


Profile: Cross River Bank
Bottom line, when a bank seems to be doing much better than other banks, there is usually a reason and that reason is almost always bad
-
Jan 19, 20226 min read


Q4 Earnings | Big Banks & QE
In the short-run rising interest rates and spreads will help bank earnings. But where is the next credit hot spot?
-
Jan 12, 20228 min read


Interest Rates, Stocks & MSRs
We think the chart below from FRED is worth any amount of words on the impact of QE on equity market valuations.
-
Jan 6, 20225 min read


Update: Block Inc. & Upstart Holdings
Is SQ really, REALLY worth 25x book value? Our respectful answer to that question is no.
-
Dec 22, 20219 min read


Fed Tightens Months Late, Even as it Attacks Liquidity
any of the problems that the Fed now seeks to fix, starting with the unnecessary elimination of LIBOR, are a function of earlier policies...
-
Dec 7, 20217 min read


Profile: Raymond James Financial
RJF is one of those quiet high-performer banks in the investment world that few understand but many own in LT portfolio
-
Nov 18, 20214 min read


Update: Blend Labs, Guild Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage
To paraphrase our friend and fellow mortgage maven Rob Chrisman, ponder a 2022 lending market that’s 75% purchases and just 4.79 million uni
-
Nov 12, 20216 min read


Is New York City Coming Back?
Over the next several years, as the economic cost of COVID becomes full visible, New York City may face its second financial crisis
-
Nov 10, 20218 min read


Update: New Residential Investment, Fortress & Softbank
The good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.
-
Nov 3, 20217 min read


Zombie Banks, Crypto & MSRs
Fact is, we are all staring at computers or handsets, all of which are connected to the internet.
-
Oct 15, 20217 min read


Bank Earnings Setup: Rebound to 2020
Many of the better managed financials that we track have become sellers of assets rather than buyers in the past several months.
-
Oct 12, 20216 min read


Powell Reappointment Still Likely
Amidst the yelling and screaming of Elizabeth Warren, we suspect that Jay Powell will survive the crisis
-
Oct 6, 20215 min read


The IRA Bank Book | Q3 2021
In the Q3 2021 edition of The IRA Bank Book, we document the slow destruction of US bank asset and equity returns by the FOMC.
-
Sep 20, 202111 min read


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
-
Sep 9, 20216 min read


Banks & REITs Fly as Fundamentals Weaken
If we told you that a group of banks and REITs outperformed fintech stocks during the first nine months of 2021, what would you say?
-
Sep 7, 20215 min read


Profile: PNC v U.S. Bancorp v Truist Financial
U.S. Bancorp, PNC and Truist Financial hold great value creation potential. But which is likely to realize this potential?
-
Aug 27, 20219 min read


Interview: Lee Smith, Flagstar Bank
We expect to see a lot more M&A activity over the next 12 – 18 months, as that’s the only way for some players to grow share.
-
Aug 23, 20217 min read


Fed Chairman Jay Powell as RobinHood
There is, after all, no free lunch for investors when the Fed is serving the thin meal of Financial Repression
-
Aug 19, 20216 min read


Update: Rocket Companies and United Wholesale Mortgage
Growing numbers of investors are burned by mortgage stocks. Big question: Will the industry snap back due to now falling interest rates?
-
Aug 16, 20215 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper & New Residential Investment
The big surge in income and net worth caused by the FOMC last year is rapidly ending. Winter has returned to mortgage land...
-
Aug 9, 20215 min read
bottom of page







.png)