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Yellen FSOC Punts on Mortgage Servicers; WGA Bottom 25 Banks
Are there bank bargains down in the cellar waiting to be discovered?
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May 13, 20247 min read


TCBI v Ginnie Mae Goes to Trial | Outlook for Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
McCargo's actions and the fact that the case has not been dismissed in its entirety is very unhelpful given current market conditions.
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Apr 21, 20247 min read


Top-Five Banks: Q1 '24 Earnings Setup
We see higher credit costs, narrowing NIM and still rising funding costs squeezing the banking industry in Q1 2024...
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Mar 19, 20247 min read


Should We Resurrect the Reconstruction Finance Corporation?
We can all pretend that the collapse of valuations for many commercial and multifamily properties is not a major problem. Or we can act now
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Feb 13, 202411 min read


Assume Loss Given Default > 100% | PennyMac & Western Alliance Bank
Q: What do Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank and New York Community Bank have in common? Auditor, KPMG.
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Feb 4, 202410 min read


NYCB Cleans House Badly, NAIC Gives Insurers Pass on Realized Losses
Sad to say, the business at NYCB is doing better than you'd think reading the bank's absurd disclosure.
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Feb 1, 20247 min read


Update: U.S. Bancorp
Net interest income at USB was down again for the fourth consecutive quarter, confirming a trend across the banking industry
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Jan 22, 20245 min read


With Commercial Property, the Equity Goes First
The key thing to remember with commercial real estate is the change in price volatility and direction that has occurred since COVID.
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Jan 20, 20245 min read


Banks Slow Walk Commercial Real Estate Losses
As reflected in the valuations for JPM, WFC and BXMT, institutional investors are still not that concerned about commercial real est losses
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Jan 18, 20247 min read


Another Progressive New Year?
Many participants in the equity markets are chewing on ski tips this holiday season after boldly predicting lower interest rates in 2024
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Dec 19, 20236 min read


Housing, China & the Dollar
The world of secured finance is still coming to grips with the idea of several more increases in the federal funds rate this year.
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Jul 5, 20236 min read


Top Five Banks: JPMorgan Leads the Pack
JPM is really a large mutual fund with a bank attached, as shown in the table below.
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Jul 3, 20237 min read


Update: Banks & Fintechs
With inflation fears moderating, look for Buy Side managers to buy bank stocks – even if earnings remain constrained...
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Jun 14, 20235 min read


AI, Automobiles & Great Cities
If it’s artificial, then it’s not intelligent.
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Jun 6, 20236 min read


Banks, Commercial Real Estate & Credit
The Fed's 5.5% increase in short-term interest rates has thrown the pricing for trillions of dollars in real estate into disarray.
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May 17, 20235 min read


Is USA still a "AAA" Credit? Really? Update: Rithm Capital
When interest rates eventually fall those late vintage mortgage loans with 6% coupons will evaporate like spring snow in the sunshine
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May 10, 20238 min read


Commercial Real Estate & Bank OZK
Banks that do not aggressively reprice liabilities and assets as OZK did in Q1 2023 may be left behind.
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Apr 24, 20236 min read


QE & the Yellen Banking Crisis
By any reasonable standard, Janet Yellen should have already resigned, but not in the strange world of Washington.
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Mar 14, 20238 min read


The Return of Credit Risk
Fact is, Dr. Brainard has primary culpability in the growing economic pain being felt around the country.
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Feb 23, 20237 min read


Update: U.S. Bank vs. Bank OZK; Q3 2022 Earnings Setup
How will this above-peer performer from Little Rock do in a Fed-induced recession that rivals 2008 in terms of market losses?
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Oct 12, 20227 min read
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