November 17, 2023 | Premium Service | This past week The Institutional Risk Analyst was in Dallas for client meetings. While we toured the Texas miracle, the thundering herd in the US equity markets decided that the Fed’s battle with inflation is done.
The outburst of exhuberance drove yields on the long end down sharply. Intense speculation followed about when and how much the FOMC will cut short term rates. Only days earlier, of note, the Treasury had trouble selling long-dated debt at yields half a point higher than Friday’s close. But hold that thought.