FOMC Doubles Down on Market Risk
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell are another bank failure or two away from returning to the private sector.
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The Institutional Risk Analyst
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Banks | Markets | Fintech
Christopher Whalen
R. Christopher Whalen
- Mar 17
- 8 min
Mark-to-Market on Bank America; Update on Credit Suisse & Guild Holdings
We recently added Western Alliance (WAL) and GHLD to our portfolio
2,328 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Mar 14
- 8 min
QE & the Yellen Banking Crisis
By any reasonable standard, Janet Yellen should have already resigned, but not in the strange world of Washington.
2,922 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Mar 11
- 6 min
Who Killed Silicon Valley Bank?; The IRA Bank Book Q1 2023
Last week not a single member of the Big Media managed to ask Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about the state of the US banking system
8,459 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Mar 6
- 8 min
Atlas Stumbles, Silvergate Wallows; 360 Mortgage v. Fortress (and RITM)
Are nonbank mortgage firms a risk to Ginnie Mae? Or is it really the other way around?
1,584 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Feb 27
- 6 min
QT & Powell's Liquidity Trap
The Federal Open Market Committee has arguably lost control of monetary policy and has placed America's banks in grave risk.
8,086 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Feb 21
- 6 min
Is Stripe Worth $55 Billion? Really?
CEO Patrick Collison is guiding investors and the media to a $200 million profit in 2023. Selective disclosure??
528 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Feb 16
- 5 min
Will We See Double-Digit Residential Mortgage Rates -- Again?
As the FOMC moves short-term rates towards 6%, we expect to take another run at double-digit rates for prime residential mortgage loans.
1,276 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Feb 3
- 9 min
Two Inflation Narratives; Credit Suisse & Ginnie Mae MSRs
The big take away from Q4 2022 earnings is that credit expenses are headed higher and at a brisk pace
724 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jan 25
- 8 min
Silvergate, Reverse RPs and the “Theology of Prosperity”
Crypto, of course, is not an asset as much as a bad idea that was given life by Quantitative Easing
825 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jan 23
- 6 min
Update: Bank of America
We hear in the channel that regulators are making their views of future loss probabilities very clear in guidance to the top banks
483 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jan 19
- 9 min
Interview: Mike Patterson, Freedom Mortgage
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we speak to Mike Patterson, COO of Freedom Mortgage.
796 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jan 16
- 7 min
Goldman Drops Restatement; Jamie Dimon Drops the Ball on "Frank"
The Fed’s de facto embrace of inflation encourages misallocation of economic resources on a grand scale....
676 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jan 4
- 7 min
Update: Truist, Charles Schwab, U.S. Bancorp & PNC Financial
The largest banks continue to serve as a haven for refugees from crypto fraud schemes and the fintech swoon, but are not cheap
563 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Dec 22, 2022
- 6 min
GNMA, FNMA Seize Assets from Reverse Mortgage Funding Estate
The US government now owns the largest reverse lender in the country.
1,081 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Dec 20, 2022
- 5 min
Outliers: CapitalOne, Goldman Sachs & Citigroup
Like most nonbanks (and Goldman Sachs is predominantly a nonbank), volumes are falling and funding costs are rising.
540 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Dec 9, 2022
- 5 min
Blockchain, Crypto & Falling Liquidity
Whether we are talking about corporate credit exposures or housing, the short trade may be the place to be over the next year.
486 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 19, 2022
- 1 min
Record Losses for Mortgage Banks Presage Tough Year Ahead
Is 2023 the year of the Return of the Distressed Loan Trade?
519 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 17, 2022
- 7 min
Extension Risk Threatens US Banks
There are literally dozens of banks in the US made insolvent by the policy moves of the FOMC over the past year.
1,172 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Sep 12, 2022
- 8 min
Interview: David Stevens on GNMA Capital Rule & ICE + BKI
The entire mortgage industry will have a single point of failure with the ICE/BKI combination
1,746 views
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