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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
R. Christopher Whalen
4 hours ago6 min read
Big Losses in Commercial Real Estate & PE in 2025?
Private equity portfolio companies are about 10 times as likely to go bankrupt as non-PE-owned companies.
233 views
R. Christopher Whalen
5 days ago7 min read
Trump, Risk and Liquidity
With Gov Michael Barr stepping down from bank supervision, perhaps Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is more willing to test liquidity lower bound
122 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 30, 20248 min read
Update: Top Bank Asset Managers
As and when GS can exit the loss leading credit card relationship with AAPL, the performance of the business should improve significantly.
216 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 27, 202411 min read
Four Big Risks Ahead in 2025
Indeed, if President Trump wants to be rid of Jerome Powell he can simply impeach him for violations of the Federal Reserve Act
792 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 23, 20247 min read
Liquidity & Rates Fall as Trump Trades Beckon
What does the upsurge in repo rates at the end of September suggest? None of the media who supposedly cover the Fed seem able to ask.
429 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 4, 20246 min read
The Trump Trade & Sovereign Ratings
What happens to the Trump Trade and the broader equity markets if the FOMC passes on a December rate cut?
599 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 26, 20248 min read
Fed Fiddles as Liquidity Risk Looms
Our bet is that the Bessent "3-3-3" plan likewise will be a failure and that the Fed will be forced to restart QE sooner rather than later
1,189 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 20, 20246 min read
Profile: Bank of Hawaii & QE
The asset returns of BOH are substandard vs its peers. We cannot discern any reason for this save management lapses.
435 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 18, 20247 min read
Trump, Deficits & Credit Default Swaps
As a practical matter, no Fed chairman or governor can function without the support of the White House and the US Treasury.
934 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 13, 20246 min read
Fiat Currencies, GSEs & Presidents
Could President elect Donald Trump be facing a maxi market correction before inauguration day?
870 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20248 min read
Fed Duration Trap Threatens Banks, SOMA
It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis.Â
1,075 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 30, 20246 min read
Is Trump Bullish for Interest Rates? Pump & Dump for GSE and Fintech Stocks
You can tell lies and damn lies about the idea of releasing Fannie and Freddie, but the SEC and FINRA cannot and will not say a word.Â
804 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 28, 20249 min read
Housing Finance Outlook; PennyMac, Mr. Cooper & NYCB/Flagstar
NYCB and the unsold rent-stabilized assets left over from the failure of SBNY are two little surprises waiting for the next POTUS.
725 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 10, 20246 min read
Hurricanes, Insurance & the Cost of Risk
Many homes in FL no longer have adequate home owners insurance much less federal flood insurance.
930 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 30, 20247 min read
Jim Rickards: The Treasury Should Buy Gold
The Treasury should begin to buy gold again to demonstrate that the dollar is real.
2,172 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 24, 20246 min read
Update: Our Top Five Ideas
How will the sudden shift in Fed policy impact financials? Are we headed for a recession?
654 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 19, 20244 min read
Powell FOMC Goes Big and Political
If President Donald Trump wins in November, he’ll be more than justified in demanding Jerome Powell’s immediate resignation.
987 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 9, 20249 min read
Powell FOMC Folds on Inflation
As the federal debt rises, bank reserves must rise as well and with it inflation.
1,520 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 4, 20245 min read
Banks: Passive Strategies Lag Active Management
In the third quarter of publishing the Indices, so far picking quality banks seems to matter more than following the passive ETF herd
467 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 25, 20247 min read
Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
721 views
Christopher Whalen
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