The Institutional Risk Analyst

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Many of the better managed financials that we track have become sellers of assets rather than buyers in the past several months.

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In the Q3 2021 edition of The IRA Bank Book, we document the slow destruction of US bank asset and equity returns by the FOMC.

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There is, after all, no free lunch for investors when the Fed is serving the thin meal of Financial Repression

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Cheap liquidity c/o the FOMC does little for bank earnings when asset returns are also falling

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Why did the Fed feel the need to absorb $351 billion in cash yesterday via reverse repurchase (RRP) transactions?

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We anticipate significant loan loss reserve releases back into income in Q1 2021 and thereafter as banks adjust their loan loss provisions

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Remember when Fed Chair Yellen expressed surprise that more young people were not buying homes?

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Unless the FOMC relents and eases up on its massive purchases of Treasury securities and MBS, bank earnings are likely to decline further

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No matter who wins the presidential election in November, have no doubt that Chairman Powell is the most important man in town...

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