China's Debt Crisis Accelerates
Our view is that China has been caught in a debt deflation for the past five years.
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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2023 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Fintech
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 7
- 6 min
Biden Administration Staggers Toward a Debt Default
Whether we have Donald Trump or Joe Biden in the White House next Christmas, the US seems to be on a trajectory to a financial crisis...
1,894 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 2
- 5 min
Fitch Downgrades US to AA+; Fintech Stocks Soar on Powell Inflation
S&P was the first to call out the growing lack of fiscal discipline in Washington, downgrading Uncle Sam in 2011
687 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 19
- 8 min
Powell Ought to Pivot to Bond Sales
If the FOMC raises fed funds further, bank failures and perhaps even a market access crisis for the Treasury are next.
1,641 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- May 10
- 8 min
Is USA still a "AAA" Credit? Really? Update: Rithm Capital
When interest rates eventually fall those late vintage mortgage loans with 6% coupons will evaporate like spring snow in the sunshine
1,495 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Mar 6
- 8 min
Atlas Stumbles, Silvergate Wallows; 360 Mortgage v. Fortress (and RITM)
Are nonbank mortgage firms a risk to Ginnie Mae? Or is it really the other way around?
1,738 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Sep 18, 2022
- 9 min
Inflation, Politics & Fed Chairmen
As the scale of Fed open market operations grew since 2008, volatility has increased, rendering the adjustment from QE to QT problematic
1,029 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Sep 12, 2022
- 8 min
Interview: David Stevens on GNMA Capital Rule & ICE + BKI
The entire mortgage industry will have a single point of failure with the ICE/BKI combination
1,785 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 24, 2022
- 6 min
Interview: Scott Olson of Community Home Lenders of America
The banks have left the government market. Now Ginnie Mae seems bound and determined to drive the IMBs out of government lending as well
673 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 18, 2022
- 3 min
Dollar Remains World Reserve Currency
Once again the US is coming out of a global crisis as the cleanest dirty shirt in the laundry.
506 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 11, 2022
- 5 min
Elon Musk, China & Twitter (TWTR)
Why did Elon Musk ever pretend that he was able to acquire TWTR, a transaction the US government would never allow.
1,354 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 4, 2022
- 6 min
Hard Landings & Systemic Crypto
Putting dollar leverage under crypto tokens – that is to say, under nothing – makes for infinite dollar risk.
561 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- May 16, 2022
- 7 min
Interview: Dan Sogorka of Sagent Lending Technologies
The new technology that powers the Sagent-Cooper vision for servicing is already proven in the market
655 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- May 11, 2022
- 8 min
Does ICE + Black Knight = Shareholder Value?
ICE buying the revenue streams represented by BKI is a big bet on yesterday, not a bold initiative to change the mortgage industry
459 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Apr 26, 2022
- 6 min
Deflation, Not Inflation, is the Threat
Xi Jinping in China and Putin in Russia have turned their backs on the global economy to retain power
1,139 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Mar 1, 2022
- 3 min
When "Force Majeure" Isn't Quite
The imposition of sanctions on Russia is not as comprehensive as some press reports suggest.
327 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Feb 14, 2022
- 6 min
The Curse of Humphrey Hawkins
If you consider QE “stimulus” inflationary, then Fed policy actually accelerated inflation in the November-January period.
859 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Dec 7, 2021
- 7 min
Fed Tightens Months Late, Even as it Attacks Liquidity
any of the problems that the Fed now seeks to fix, starting with the unnecessary elimination of LIBOR, are a function of earlier policies...
727 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 10, 2021
- 8 min
Is New York City Coming Back?
Over the next several years, as the economic cost of COVID becomes full visible, New York City may face its second financial crisis
565 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Oct 6, 2021
- 5 min
Powell Reappointment Still Likely
Amidst the yelling and screaming of Elizabeth Warren, we suspect that Jay Powell will survive the crisis
409 views
Christopher Whalen
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