The Institutional Risk Analyst

If the Powell FOMC crashes the short-term markets, again, because the Board staff mismanages the required level of liquidity, Powell will need to resign same day but the real loser will be the Trump Administration.  Neither the public nor members of Congress will understand who caused the latest market upset, but they will be happy to blame Donald Trump and members of his team.

As and when the home price correction finally arrives ~ 2028, many of the conventional loans written since 2020 are likely to be underwater vs the collateral.  The GSEs will be looking for reasons to reject loans. After all, FHFA Director Bill Pulte is in the loan insurance business.

When interest rates eventually fall those late vintage mortgage loans with 6% coupons will evaporate like spring snow in the sunshine

Are nonbank mortgage firms a risk to Ginnie Mae? Or is it really the other way around?