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Housing Finance: Exposure at Default in Residential 1-4s
And as we predicted several months ago, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are at the bottom of the list now instead of the top, reflecting the fact that release from conservatorship has been shelved in favor of the GSEs buying back their own debt. Using the balance sheets of the GSEs to buy MBS basically makes them instruments of public policy, but this does not preclude President Trump from directing an equity offering after the midterm elections.
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Jan 219 min read


Housing Finance Outlook | Q2 2025
There is an old rule on Wall Street that industry sectors like airlines and auto manufacturers are trades rather than investments...
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Mar 16, 202511 min read


Residential Mortgage Finance 2025
The majority of the actual cash profit generated from residential lending is found in the mortgage servicing rights (MSRs).
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Jan 20, 202512 min read


Fiat Currencies, GSEs & Presidents
Could President elect Donald Trump be facing a maxi market correction before inauguration day?
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Nov 13, 20246 min read


Interest Rates, Mortgage Lenders & MSRs
While there are a great number of people inside the Fed who ponder the appropriate level of reserves in the system, they don't really know
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Feb 15, 20246 min read


RMF Bankruptcy Signals Systemic Risk in GNMA Market
Bankruptcy of Reverse Mortgage Funding may be first step in a systemic crisis affecting the government loan market
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Dec 2, 20226 min read


Record Losses for Mortgage Banks Presage Tough Year Ahead
Is 2023 the year of the Return of the Distressed Loan Trade?
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Nov 19, 20221 min read


Loan Delinquency, EBOs & Ginnie Mae MSRs
It seems obvious that the reported book value metrics coming from many commercial banks, REITs and mortgage banks are a tad inflated...
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Nov 15, 20226 min read


A Tale of Two Mortgage SPACs: UWMC and FOA
Why did FOA write down $1.4 billion in intangible equity, yet UWM took no similar write down?
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Mar 9, 20224 min read


Update: Mr. Cooper & New Residential Investment
The big surge in income and net worth caused by the FOMC last year is rapidly ending. Winter has returned to mortgage land...
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Aug 9, 20215 min read
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