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Mortgage Market Notes; A Lehman Moment for Apollo Management?
As of December 31, 2025, Athene had the ability to draw up to an estimated $30.7 billion via advances, inclusive of borrowings then outstanding. But when the funding agreements are added, the total exposure to the FHLBs from APO is over $50 billion vs $74 billion in total capital and retained earnings for the FHLB system.
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Mar 2610 min read


Santander + Webster = ? | Affordability: Accelerate Treasury Debt Repurchases
The good news is that Webster is not a bad bank and SAN is not overpaying, although the low level of capital and reserves may represent be a significant expense for SAN in the near term. We kind of liked the fact that SAN’s management team had avoided another bank acquisition and instead focused on consumer finance...
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Feb 89 min read


The Trumpian Wave & Systemic Risk
The common penny stocks of these two appendages of the state, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are up over 600% in the past year, generating huge gains for the likes of Bill Ackman and John Paulson. Bitcoin is up a paltry 50% LTM. Indeed, much like old fintech stocks such as PayPal (PYPL) and Block Inc (XTZ), bitcoin seems to be losing the special novelty that always seems to drive these manic stories. Is bitcoin now just another boring Wall Street ETF?
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May 25, 20256 min read
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