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The Interview: William Janeway on Capitalism and the Innovation Economy
“Political economy is not a science, it’s a clinical art, like medicine.” Eliot Janeway (1913-1993) Washington | In this issue of The...
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Oct 3, 20188 min read


Goldman Sachs: To be a Bank, or Not
New York | Last week we almost welcomed the news that the Securities and Exchange Commission had accused Tesla Motors (TSLA) founder Elon...
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Sep 30, 20187 min read


NASDAQ Dodges a Black Swan
New York | Q: How do you say “black swan” in Norwegian? A: sort svane. But hold that thought for a moment. Last week readers of The...
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Sep 26, 20184 min read


Fintech Wars: New York v. OCC et al…
New York | The term financial technology or “fintech” was reportedly coined back in the 1980s by Peter Knight in The Sunday Times, but...
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Sep 19, 20186 min read


What Now for CBS and Viacom?
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we feature composer and media industry observer Michael Whalen on the prospects for CBS...
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Sep 16, 20185 min read


Lehman Brothers and the Subprime Crisis Ten Years After
New York | People keep asking what we think of the 10-year anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Our answer is that not much...
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Sep 13, 20182 min read


Profile: Texas Capital Bancshares
New York | In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we take a look at an important player in the world of mortgage finance, Texas...
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Sep 10, 20183 min read


View from the Lake: Is the United States a “AAA” Credit?
Grand Lake Stream | The discussions this weekend at Leen’s Lodge in Maine were wide ranging and, as always, of great interest. Will...
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Sep 3, 20187 min read


Will Jay Powell Blink on Reducing the Fed Portfolio?
New York | Last week Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that the Federal Open Market Committee intends to keep...
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Aug 26, 20185 min read


Tesla's Single Point of Failure
New York | Watching the meltdown of Tesla Motors (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk last week unfold in the pages of The New York Times, we...
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Aug 20, 20186 min read


Tight Money vs Tight Spreads
By any standard, credit spreads in the US bond and loan markets remain very tight. Now several years into a Fed interest rate tightening...
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Aug 14, 20185 min read


Which Are the Best Performing US Banks?
New York | Which are the best performing banks in the US? Equity returns for the entire industry averaged 11.4% in Q1’18, up from 9.6%...
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Aug 7, 20186 min read


Bank Stocks Rebound as Home Prices Start to Weaken
Dana Point | Since the lows of late-June, financials have rebounded more than 10% even as issues such as trade and the flattening...
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Jul 29, 20187 min read


What If Chairman Powell is Wrong About Neutral Interest Rates?
New York | President Donald Trump caused a bit of a stir last week when he suggested that rising interest rates are cause for concern....
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Jul 23, 20186 min read


Is Goldman Sachs Really a Bank? Really?
New York | In the steamy days of July 2018, bank earnings are more interesting than usual, in part because our beloved friends and...
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Jul 18, 20184 min read


Has the Fed Permanently Inflated Home Prices?
New York | Last week we posted a snippet from Rob Chrisman’s housing finance blog about former Fed Chair Janet’s Yellen being "puzzled"...
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Jul 10, 20185 min read


Professor Edward Altman: Risk On
New York | Last week The Institutional Risk Analyst attended an evening presentation by Professor Edward Altman of NYU Stern School of...
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Jul 1, 20185 min read


Liquidity Traps and Interest Rate Ceilings
Grand Lake Stream | During our fishing trip to Leen's Lodge last week, there was a lot of discussion about the markets and whether the...
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Jun 26, 20185 min read


The Tightening Hits Financials
Boston | Even as the Federal Open Market Committee raised short-term interest rates last week, the Trump Administration doubled down on...
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Jun 19, 20184 min read


The Interview: Dale Hemmerdinger on the Outlook for New York Real Estate
New York | Dale Hemmerdinger is the consummate New Yorker. He is a real estate executive and active public citizen. He oversees the...
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Jun 11, 20188 min read
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