top of page


Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
-
Aug 25, 20247 min read


Wine, Grapes & Inflation; WGA Bank Top 50 Index Q3 2024
The WGA Bank Top 50 is, well, the top half of the population, but far better in quality than the bottom quartile.
-
Aug 5, 20245 min read


Yellen's FSOC: Housing Policy Dreams vs Mortgage Market Reality
Yellen's proposal for a backstop is merely a canard to help Treasury avoid another fiasco next time a Ginnie Mae issuer fails
-
Jul 30, 20246 min read


Update: Pinnacle Financial & Synthetic Credit Risk Transfer
We hear in the channel that banks with festering multifamily exposures are paying north of 10% for similar CRT transactions.
-
Jul 18, 20246 min read


Goldman Sachs Fails Fed Stress Test
Notice that the Fed stress test is silent on trillions of dollars in mark-to-market losses facing US banks from COVID-era securities
-
Jul 7, 202410 min read


Who Leads the Asset Gatherers? | SCHW, MS, GS, AMP, RJF & SF
The larger banks led the way in January and February, but today the top 25 names in terms of total return include many smaller banks.
-
Jul 3, 20247 min read


USSC Kills Chevron | Zombie Banks Pass Stress Tests?
The Fed bank stress tests are another sign of magical thinking in Washington.
-
Jul 1, 20248 min read


Interview: Brian Barnier on the Fed and Inflation in Never Never Land
In the 1950s through maybe into the late 1990s, the FOMC could control mortgage interest rates....
-
Jun 17, 20245 min read


Interview: Robert Brusca on the Federal Open Market Committee
Powell won’t hit the two percent target, but he won’t change the target either.
-
Jun 10, 20249 min read


WGA Releases Bank Quarterly Q2 2024
The unrealized losses on COVID era securities remain a huge problem for banks large and small, especially if long-term interest rates rise
-
Jun 2, 20242 min read


At the Federal Reserve Board, It's 1927 All Over Again
Obviously, there should be no interest rate cuts by the FOMC without deficit reduction by Congress.
-
May 30, 20247 min read


Interest Rates, Deficits & Inflation
We think it is reasonable to push expectations of a cut in the target for Fed funds into Q1 2025.
-
May 24, 20246 min read


Portfolio Update & Mortgage Survivors
The survivors in mortgage finance optimize operations around purchasing loans from brokers/ correspondents, and direct to consumer (DTC)
-
May 8, 20246 min read


WGA Bank Top 100 Index | Q2 2024
Our Bank Top 10 and Top 25 indices continue to outperform the industry benchmarks, but the broader samples show growing financial stress
-
Apr 29, 20243 min read


The Death of Leverage; What's the WAC of Bank America?
The yield on BAC's $320 billion commercial and industrial (C&I) book was just 5.4% or more than 150bp below peer at year-end 2023.
-
Apr 24, 20247 min read


Vanguard & Black Rock Control JP Morgan? | PNC & United Wholesale Mortgage
BK and Vanguard are above the 4.9% legal limit on ownership of voting shares of a bank. This fact gives the FDIC et al the power...
-
Apr 4, 20247 min read


Inside the WGA Bank Top 10 Index
So what makes the WGA Bank Top 10 unique? Below we provide some quantitative and qualitative comments on each of the ten best US banks
-
Mar 13, 20247 min read


WGA Releases Top 50 Bank Index | What's in Your ETF?
Not all banks or companies are the same and not all follow the herd.
-
Feb 25, 20245 min read


Does CapitalOne + Discover Financial = Shareholder Value?
Elizabeth Warren and progressives in Congress should support COF's purchase of Discover as a way to compete with monopoly JPMorgan
-
Feb 21, 20244 min read


Interview: Bill Kennedy of RiskBridge Advisors
Volatility remains perhaps the biggest risk factor today, mostly because of a lack of visibility on unexpected risks.
-
Jan 24, 20249 min read
bottom of page







.png)