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Is New York City Coming Back?
Over the next several years, as the economic cost of COVID becomes full visible, New York City may face its second financial crisis
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Nov 10, 20218 min read


Update: New Residential Investment, Fortress & Softbank
The good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.
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Nov 3, 20217 min read


Cenlar FSB, COOP, BLND and the Great MSR Migration
Risk to investors in the market for residential mortgages is rising and from multiple sources
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Oct 28, 20214 min read


Three Questions for Chairman Powell
Look for the FOMC to act early and go big in terms of forward repurchase agreements at the first sign of liquidity stress.
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Oct 25, 20216 min read


Profile: Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL)
WAL is one the best performing small banks in the US based upon equity market valuations, profits and growth rates
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Oct 22, 20215 min read


Zombie Banks, Crypto & MSRs
Fact is, we are all staring at computers or handsets, all of which are connected to the internet.
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Oct 15, 20217 min read


Bank Earnings Setup: Rebound to 2020
Many of the better managed financials that we track have become sellers of assets rather than buyers in the past several months.
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Oct 12, 20216 min read


Powell Reappointment Still Likely
Amidst the yelling and screaming of Elizabeth Warren, we suspect that Jay Powell will survive the crisis
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Oct 6, 20215 min read


The IRA Bank Book | Q3 2021
In the Q3 2021 edition of The IRA Bank Book, we document the slow destruction of US bank asset and equity returns by the FOMC.
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Sep 20, 202111 min read


Debt Ceilings & Interest Rate Floors
When Treasury market yields trade and stay negative, look for the Federal Reserve Board to come to the rescue of MM funds and banks.
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Sep 13, 20217 min read


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
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Sep 9, 20216 min read


Banks & REITs Fly as Fundamentals Weaken
If we told you that a group of banks and REITs outperformed fintech stocks during the first nine months of 2021, what would you say?
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Sep 7, 20215 min read


Profile: PNC v U.S. Bancorp v Truist Financial
U.S. Bancorp, PNC and Truist Financial hold great value creation potential. But which is likely to realize this potential?
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Aug 27, 20219 min read


Interview: Lee Smith, Flagstar Bank
We expect to see a lot more M&A activity over the next 12 – 18 months, as that’s the only way for some players to grow share.
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Aug 23, 20217 min read


Fed Chairman Jay Powell as RobinHood
There is, after all, no free lunch for investors when the Fed is serving the thin meal of Financial Repression
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Aug 19, 20216 min read


Anti-Money Laundering, Know Your Customer and the End of Offshore Crypto
Could the tether market and a small, little-known private bank in the Bahamas be the precursor of the next systemic market event in the US?
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Jul 27, 20216 min read


Profile: Bank of America (BAC)
BAC is the worst performing bank in the top-five US commercial banks and often underperforms the average for Peer Group 1.
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Jul 23, 20215 min read


GNMA Issuer Rule Threatens Government Market
This rule could cost literally tens of billions in losses to banks and nonbanks alike...
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Jul 19, 20217 min read


Profile: Wise Ltd (LSE:WISE)
WISE is a play on the relentless advance of technology that lowers costs and eventually forces change in the legacy world of banking and pay
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Jul 15, 20215 min read


Q2 2021 Bank Earnings Setup | GS, JPM, FRC | NIM Lower for Longer
Cheap liquidity c/o the FOMC does little for bank earnings when asset returns are also falling
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Jul 12, 20213 min read
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