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Powell Reappointment Still Likely
Amidst the yelling and screaming of Elizabeth Warren, we suspect that Jay Powell will survive the crisis
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Oct 6, 20215 min read


The IRA Bank Book | Q3 2021
In the Q3 2021 edition of The IRA Bank Book, we document the slow destruction of US bank asset and equity returns by the FOMC.
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Sep 20, 202111 min read


Debt Ceilings & Interest Rate Floors
When Treasury market yields trade and stay negative, look for the Federal Reserve Board to come to the rescue of MM funds and banks.
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Sep 13, 20217 min read


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
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Sep 9, 20216 min read


Banks & REITs Fly as Fundamentals Weaken
If we told you that a group of banks and REITs outperformed fintech stocks during the first nine months of 2021, what would you say?
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Sep 7, 20215 min read


Profile: PNC v U.S. Bancorp v Truist Financial
U.S. Bancorp, PNC and Truist Financial hold great value creation potential. But which is likely to realize this potential?
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Aug 27, 20219 min read


Interview: Lee Smith, Flagstar Bank
We expect to see a lot more M&A activity over the next 12 – 18 months, as that’s the only way for some players to grow share.
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Aug 23, 20217 min read


Fed Chairman Jay Powell as RobinHood
There is, after all, no free lunch for investors when the Fed is serving the thin meal of Financial Repression
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Aug 19, 20216 min read


Anti-Money Laundering, Know Your Customer and the End of Offshore Crypto
Could the tether market and a small, little-known private bank in the Bahamas be the precursor of the next systemic market event in the US?
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Jul 27, 20216 min read


Profile: Bank of America (BAC)
BAC is the worst performing bank in the top-five US commercial banks and often underperforms the average for Peer Group 1.
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Jul 23, 20215 min read


GNMA Issuer Rule Threatens Government Market
This rule could cost literally tens of billions in losses to banks and nonbanks alike...
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Jul 19, 20217 min read


Profile: Wise Ltd (LSE:WISE)
WISE is a play on the relentless advance of technology that lowers costs and eventually forces change in the legacy world of banking and pay
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Jul 15, 20215 min read


Q2 2021 Bank Earnings Setup | GS, JPM, FRC | NIM Lower for Longer
Cheap liquidity c/o the FOMC does little for bank earnings when asset returns are also falling
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Jul 12, 20213 min read


Jay Powell Defends the Lower Bound
We anticipate a shift in deposits out of banks and into the Fed that could further complicate liquidity in Q3 2021.
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Jul 6, 20216 min read


Profile: Blend Labs, Inc ("BLND")
Is BLND worth more than RKT, or entrenched data monopolies and solution providers such as BKI or even CLGX?
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Jun 30, 20217 min read


Fed Hikes Rates, Rescues Money Market Funds
When you hear people talking about the Fed tapering QE next year, you know they are behind the proverbial curve.
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Jun 28, 20215 min read


Juneteenth and Wall Street
The big banks in Boston, New York and London did not support “Lincoln’s War”
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Jun 21, 20214 min read


Upstart Holdings: Victory for AI? Or Not...
While the progress in machine learning is impressive, horsepower in terms of computational capacity does not translate into intelligence.
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Jun 17, 20219 min read


BIS Says "No Thanks" to Bitcoin for Payments
The BIS is essentially saying to the banking industry that bitcoin is not a permitted asset for depositories. Adios bitcoin!
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Jun 14, 20215 min read


Icons of Meme Investing
Fed Chairman Jay Powell effectively is short an equity put option to the world...
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Jun 8, 20217 min read
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