Will Jay Powell Blink on Reducing the Fed Portfolio?
New York | Last week Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that the Federal Open Market Committee intends to keep...
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The Institutional Risk Analyst
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Banks | Markets | Fintech
Christopher Whalen
By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 20, 2018
- 6 min
Tesla's Single Point of Failure
New York | Watching the meltdown of Tesla Motors (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk last week unfold in the pages of The New York Times, we...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 14, 2018
- 5 min
Tight Money vs Tight Spreads
By any standard, credit spreads in the US bond and loan markets remain very tight. Now several years into a Fed interest rate tightening...
651 views0 comments
By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 7, 2018
- 6 min
Which Are the Best Performing US Banks?
New York | Which are the best performing banks in the US? Equity returns for the entire industry averaged 11.4% in Q1’18, up from 9.6%...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 29, 2018
- 7 min
Bank Stocks Rebound as Home Prices Start to Weaken
Dana Point | Since the lows of late-June, financials have rebounded more than 10% even as issues such as trade and the flattening...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 23, 2018
- 6 min
What If Chairman Powell is Wrong About Neutral Interest Rates?
New York | President Donald Trump caused a bit of a stir last week when he suggested that rising interest rates are cause for concern....
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 18, 2018
- 4 min
Is Goldman Sachs Really a Bank? Really?
New York | In the steamy days of July 2018, bank earnings are more interesting than usual, in part because our beloved friends and...
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R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 10, 2018
- 5 min
Has the Fed Permanently Inflated Home Prices?
New York | Last week we posted a snippet from Rob Chrisman’s housing finance blog about former Fed Chair Janet’s Yellen being "puzzled"...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 1, 2018
- 5 min
Professor Edward Altman: Risk On
New York | Last week The Institutional Risk Analyst attended an evening presentation by Professor Edward Altman of NYU Stern School of...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 26, 2018
- 5 min
Liquidity Traps and Interest Rate Ceilings
Grand Lake Stream | During our fishing trip to Leen's Lodge last week, there was a lot of discussion about the markets and whether the...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 19, 2018
- 4 min
The Tightening Hits Financials
Boston | Even as the Federal Open Market Committee raised short-term interest rates last week, the Trump Administration doubled down on...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 11, 2018
- 8 min
The Interview: Dale Hemmerdinger on the Outlook for New York Real Estate
New York | Dale Hemmerdinger is the consummate New Yorker. He is a real estate executive and active public citizen. He oversees the...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 9, 2018
- 2 min
Update: The Financial Repression Index
Back in April we published a comment, "Bank Earnings & Financial Repression," that introduced the concept of the Financial Repression...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 4, 2018
- 7 min
Merkel Blinks on Italy Bailout
New York – Ever heard of the European Monetary Authority? Hold that thought. For more than a decade now, banks in Europe have been...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- May 28, 2018
- 6 min
Mortgage Banking Post QE
New York – Happy Memorial Day. "Let us have peace." Grant's Tomb The Mortgage Bankers Association Secondary Expo is always one of the...
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By: R. Christopher Whalen
- May 21, 2018
- 5 min
Debt Deflation Italian Style
New York – This week The IRA will be at the MBA Secondary Market Conference & Expo, as always held at the Marriott Marquis in Times...
638 views0 comments
By: R. Christopher Whalen
- May 13, 2018
- 5 min
The Failure of MacroPrudential Regulation
Paris | Why is economic growth so modest in the United States given the low levels of interest rates? Or as Jim Glassman of...
340 views0 comments
By: R. Christopher Whalen
- May 7, 2018
- 7 min
Should Elon Musk Sell Tesla?
New York | We were in the car last week heading to Washington for the gala celebration for The American Conservative’s 15 years in...
445 views0 comments
By: R. Christopher Whalen
- May 3, 2018
- 9 min
The Interview: Dennis Santiago on Banks, Blockchain and the Goddess of NIM
New York | In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we talk with Dennis Santiago, co-founder of Institutional Risk Analytics and...
533 views0 comments
By: R. Christopher Whalen
- Apr 30, 2018
- 5 min
Macro-Markets: The Case for Stagflation
New York | Sometimes simple images are the most powerful. The chart below from FRED shows US real GDP change vs. the effective rate for...
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