The Institutional Risk Analyst

In fact, we expect the war with Iran to result in higher interest rates, higher inflation and rationing of key petroleum byproducts in coming months, something that nobody in the Trump Administration seems willing to discuss. If Washington was populated by serious people, the federal government would already be making plans for rationing key refined products.

The past week has been a decidedly volatile period, but with spreads widening in response to growing concern about the US fiscal trainwreck ℅ the US Congress and President Donald Trump. Even the possible intervention of the Federal Reserve Board does not impress a market about to see the largest IPO ever in Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

What does the upsurge in repo rates at the end of September suggest? None of the media who supposedly cover the Fed seem able to ask.

Now let’s take a look at how some members of the banking and fintech sector are doing in the first month of 2024.

Will Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require another federal rescue in 2023 or beyond?

The reduction in the Fed's balance sheet is the largest ever margin call on equity exposures of all descriptions.

Q: What do Elon Musk and Masayoshi Son have in common? Gigantic margin loans...

If Henry Ford lived today, would he build electric cars? With lithium batteries?

And after the great correction, the dollar will still be the global means of exchange, but Americans will have lost a huge amount of income

Remember when Fed Chair Yellen expressed surprise that more young people were not buying homes?

US Equities: Unwinding the Yellen Leveraged Buyout