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The Institutional Risk Analyst


Liquidity & Rates Fall as Trump Trades Beckon
What does the upsurge in repo rates at the end of September suggest? None of the media who supposedly cover the Fed seem able to ask.
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Dec 23, 20247 min read


EVs Wane, Fintech Sputters & COF Dumps Commercial Mortgages
Now let’s take a look at how some members of the banking and fintech sector are doing in the first month of 2024.
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Jan 29, 20248 min read


Predictions for the New Year 2023
Will Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require another federal rescue in 2023 or beyond?
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Dec 30, 20229 min read


Equity Market Valuations & Quantitative Tightening
The reduction in the Fed's balance sheet is the largest ever margin call on equity exposures of all descriptions.
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May 23, 20227 min read


Update: Crypto Frauds and Fintech Dreams
Q: What do Elon Musk and Masayoshi Son have in common? Gigantic margin loans...
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May 18, 20226 min read


MEME Stocks & Lithium Batteries
If Henry Ford lived today, would he build electric cars? With lithium batteries?
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Feb 21, 20226 min read


The Great Correction of 2025
And after the great correction, the dollar will still be the global means of exchange, but Americans will have lost a huge amount of income
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Feb 16, 20214 min read


Don't Fight the Fed -- Yet
Remember when Fed Chair Yellen expressed surprise that more young people were not buying homes?
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Feb 9, 20214 min read
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