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The Institutional Risk Analyst


Annuities Migrate Offshore? Silicon Valley Syndrome and Bank of America
Even a small decrease in prepayments due to higher LT interest rates could significantly impact the fair value of the Bank of America mortgage portfolio, forcing unrealized losses higher. If LT rates continue to rise, one veteran banker told The IRA yesterday, then BAC and several other large banks are going to start to literally shake apart from unrealized losses on COVID era assets.
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May 297 min read


Silicon Valley and the Large Bank Dead Pool
When you see a bank with more than 10% of total assets in MBS, that's a big red flag in our book.
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Mar 97 min read


Update: Charles Schwab | SCHW
The SVB duration management from 2020 onward was recklessly negligent by any reasonable standard
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Jan 225 min read


Michael Barr's Capital Proposal Deliberately Misses the Point
The sad fact is that even with another 2% capital, most US banks are arguably insolvent thanks to the Fed “going big.”
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Jul 11, 20234 min read


QT & Powell's Liquidity Trap
The Federal Open Market Committee has arguably lost control of monetary policy and has placed America's banks in grave risk.
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Feb 27, 20236 min read
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