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One & Done: Fed Rate Hikes End in June
“Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." Irving Fisher October 1929 This Thursday The IRA’s Christopher...
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Jun 11, 20176 min read


The Interview: John Kanas, BankUnited
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we speak to John A. Kanas, Chairman of BankUnited (NYSE:BKU). Kanas rose to prominence...
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Jun 8, 20177 min read


The Neo-Keynesian Era Ends at the Federal Reserve Board
"[F]rom early spring throughout 2009 and until mid-year 2010, the Fed engaged in the first major quantitative easing program of purchases...
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Jun 6, 20176 min read


The Profile: Capital One Financial (COF)
Financials swooned this week as investors now seem to accept that much of the Trump program is in doubt – at least for 2017. No surprise...
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May 31, 20175 min read


Macro-Prudential Delusions: Bank Credit Outlook 2H 2017
In the mid 2000s, just before the financial crisis began, US banks were reporting credit metrics for all asset classes in loan portfolios...
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May 29, 201710 min read


The Interview: Sanjiv Das, Caliber Home Loans
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we speak to Sanjiv Das, CEO of Lonestar’s Caliber Home Loans, a home mortgage originator...
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May 22, 20176 min read


Buy Britain, Sell Europe
“Europe is now a continent of widespread economic misery, of financial collapse, of disappearing faith in ‘mainstream’ political parties...
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May 16, 20177 min read


Good Banks, Bad Banks
In an October 1925, speech in Birmingham, Michigan, Senator James Couzens, the business partner of Henry Ford, sketched out a vision of...
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May 9, 20175 min read


Dollar SuperCycle Ends
What do the US residential housing market, the stock market and the dollar all have in common? All of these markets represent bubbles...
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May 3, 20173 min read


Ocwen, JPMorgan & the Politics of Mortgage Finance
Last week The IRA’s Chris Whalen participated in the Executive Roundtable in San Francisco, hosted by the Morrison Foerster Law firm. We...
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Apr 24, 20177 min read


A Tale of Two Banks: Goldman Sachs & Bank America
This week provides an interesting comparison between two “financials,” Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS). The...
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Apr 19, 20174 min read


Trump and the Age of Magical Thinking
“Anyone taken as an individual is tolerably sensible and reasonable – as a member of a crowd, he at once becomes a blockhead.” Friederich...
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Apr 17, 20174 min read


How Much Lower Will Bank Stocks Fall?
Since the November 2016 election, large cap financials have moved sharply higher, in the case of Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) up almost 60%....
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Apr 12, 20174 min read


For Big Banks, Profits Not Capital is the Issue
This week brings the start of Q1 2017 earnings for many banks, large and small. In order to better inform the subsequent...
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Apr 9, 20179 min read


Q1 '17 Earnings & the Yellen Recession
JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) boss Jamie Dimon says there’s something wrong with the US economy and he is obviously right. Here’s our short list:...
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Apr 6, 20176 min read


The Economics of Content: Michael Whalen
Over the past decade we have periodically talked to our brother Michael Whalen (MW), Emmy award winning composer, film editor, and now...
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Apr 3, 20176 min read


Why Does David Einhorn Like Janet Yellen's Auto Bubble?
David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital recently proposed that General Motors (NYSE:GM) divide its common equity into two parts, one that...
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Mar 31, 20174 min read


Citigroup: Canary in the Coal Mine
New York --- Mohamed A. El-Erian’s day job is Chief Economic Adviser at Allianz, but he is also a key indicator – a canary -- for the...
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Mar 27, 20178 min read


How the SEC killed Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM)
Below follows an extended soliloquy by my friend and mentor Fred Feldkamp, who was a partner at Foley & Lardner in Detroit, about how the...
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Mar 25, 20175 min read


Good Banks, Bad Banks...
This essay is part of a longer paper on the US banking system that is part of my research for a future book. What makes a bank good or...
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Mar 24, 20178 min read
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