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EVs Wane, Fintech Sputters & COF Dumps Commercial Mortgages
Now let’s take a look at how some members of the banking and fintech sector are doing in the first month of 2024.
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Jan 29, 20248 min read


Interview: Bill Kennedy of RiskBridge Advisors
Volatility remains perhaps the biggest risk factor today, mostly because of a lack of visibility on unexpected risks.
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Jan 24, 20249 min read


Update: U.S. Bancorp
Net interest income at USB was down again for the fourth consecutive quarter, confirming a trend across the banking industry
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Jan 22, 20245 min read


With Commercial Property, the Equity Goes First
The key thing to remember with commercial real estate is the change in price volatility and direction that has occurred since COVID.
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Jan 20, 20245 min read


Banks Slow Walk Commercial Real Estate Losses
As reflected in the valuations for JPM, WFC and BXMT, institutional investors are still not that concerned about commercial real est losses
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Jan 18, 20247 min read


Citigroup Cannot Cut to Profitability
If Fraser cannot articulate a coherent reason to keep the business together, a breakup may be the most sensible strategy.
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Jan 15, 20247 min read


Bank Earnings Setup Q4 2023
Look for falling rates sooner rather than later as the Fed and other agencies prepare to resolve more bank failures in 2024.
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Jan 11, 20245 min read


Bank Reserves & Treasury Auctions
As the public debt of the US grows, after all, the implicit claim of the Treasury on all private US assets also grows.
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Jan 8, 20248 min read


Comments on Basel III Endgame
The Basel III proposal reflects a view of financial risks facing US banks that is decades out of date and ignores market risk
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Jan 3, 20243 min read


End of Fintech? Biden GSE Release?
Is AFRM maturing from a hot new fintech entrant to a familiar face headed for a bank license?? Yikes.
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Dec 31, 20237 min read


Higher Home Prices & Inflation in 2024
This morning, banks are buying funding from the BTFP below 4.85% and selling Fed funds at 5.5%.
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Dec 26, 20235 min read


Update: Citigroup Fights for Credibility
Citigroup picked up almost 10 points of book value since the end of Q3 2023.
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Dec 21, 20237 min read


Another Progressive New Year?
Many participants in the equity markets are chewing on ski tips this holiday season after boldly predicting lower interest rates in 2024
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Dec 19, 20236 min read


Rates Rally Financials, But Credit Fears Remain
The key term for risk managers and investors in 2024 remains unchanged from this year: Volatility.
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Dec 15, 20237 min read


What Does PNC Financial Say About Commercial Real Estate?
What does PNC tell us now about commercial loan exposures in 2024?
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Dec 12, 20236 min read


Is the Fed Insolvent? Does it Matter?
The real question is not whether the FOMC can get inflation down to the 2% target but whether it can keep asset prices rising indefinitely
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Dec 11, 20236 min read


Stocks, Interest Rates and Reverse RPs
Simply stated, with T-bills trading significantly above the yield on RRPs, there is no reason for MMFs to leave cash at the Fed
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Dec 8, 20234 min read


Do Bank Reserves Boost Stocks? | IRA Bank Book for Q4 2023
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we release the latest edition of The IRA Bank Book for Q4 2023
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Dec 5, 20238 min read


Update: Flying Fintechs & Zombie Banks
COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...
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Nov 29, 20236 min read


The Moral Hazard of Jerome Powell
Instead of seeking authority from Congress, Chairman Bernanke and other members of the FOMC merely turned on the public spigot.
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Nov 27, 20236 min read
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