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The Institutional Risk Analyst

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Interest Rates & Dilettantes

Updated: Sep 30, 2021

September 29, 2021 | In this Premium Service issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we return to the world of interest rates and inflation expectations, what we laughingly refer to as monetary policy in the U.S. As was the case this past June, Treasury yields are rising and spreads are beginning to emerge from the Fed-induced coma. The vast amount of cash injected into the system by the Fed and Treasury has retarded market function and driven the portion of bank balance sheets funded with deposits to a 50-year high. But the biggest factor weighing on the debt and equity markets is the ebbing credibility of the FOMC under Jerome Powell and the Treasury under Janet Yellen. We truly live in the age of the dilettante.

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