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The Institutional Risk Analyst


The Trumpian Wave & Systemic Risk
The common penny stocks of these two appendages of the state, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are up over 600% in the past year, generating huge gains for the likes of Bill Ackman and John Paulson. Bitcoin is up a paltry 50% LTM. Indeed, much like old fintech stocks such as PayPal (PYPL) and Block Inc (XTZ), bitcoin seems to be losing the special novelty that always seems to drive these manic stories. Is bitcoin now just another boring Wall Street ETF?
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May 256 min read


The First Crypto Currency: The Dollar
When you buy a crypto currency, you buy an option on finding a greater fool, but nothing more, a transaction that would have provoked contempt in Lincoln’s day.
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May 188 min read


Trump, Risk and Liquidity
With Gov Michael Barr stepping down from bank supervision, perhaps Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is more willing to test liquidity lower bound
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Jan 87 min read


Is New York City Coming Back?
Over the next several years, as the economic cost of COVID becomes full visible, New York City may face its second financial crisis
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Nov 10, 20218 min read
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