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Jay Powell Defends the Lower Bound
We anticipate a shift in deposits out of banks and into the Fed that could further complicate liquidity in Q3 2021.
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Jul 6, 20216 min read


Profile: Blend Labs, Inc ("BLND")
Is BLND worth more than RKT, or entrenched data monopolies and solution providers such as BKI or even CLGX?
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Jun 30, 20217 min read


Fed Hikes Rates, Rescues Money Market Funds
When you hear people talking about the Fed tapering QE next year, you know they are behind the proverbial curve.
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Jun 28, 20215 min read


Update: Top Five US Banks | JPM C BAC WFC USB
Outside of Citi, the highest loss rate of the top five BHCs is JPM, but CEO Jamie Dimon makes more money per dollar of assets
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Jun 23, 20215 min read


Juneteenth and Wall Street
The big banks in Boston, New York and London did not support “Lincoln’s War”
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Jun 21, 20214 min read


Upstart Holdings: Victory for AI? Or Not...
While the progress in machine learning is impressive, horsepower in terms of computational capacity does not translate into intelligence.
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Jun 17, 20219 min read


BIS Says "No Thanks" to Bitcoin for Payments
The BIS is essentially saying to the banking industry that bitcoin is not a permitted asset for depositories. Adios bitcoin!
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Jun 14, 20215 min read


Icons of Meme Investing
Fed Chairman Jay Powell effectively is short an equity put option to the world...
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Jun 8, 20217 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q2 2021: Lower Earnings Ahead
If you back reserve releases out of Q1 2021 bank results, revenues and earnings were down and trend is headed lower due to QE
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Jun 3, 202110 min read


Lee Adler: Banks Are As Fragile As Ever
Every time there’s a critical problem in the banking system due to banker malfeasance, the Fed steps in to paper it over....
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Jun 1, 20214 min read


Update: Rising Interest Rates & Mortgage Servicing
The Fed’s chief concern is keeping the Treasury debt market open and functional. Liquidity includes cash and risk-free collateral...
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May 25, 20215 min read


Fed Prepares to Go Direct with Liquidity
Why did the Fed feel the need to absorb $351 billion in cash yesterday via reverse repurchase (RRP) transactions?
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May 21, 20215 min read


Joe Biden Declares War on Family Farms, Owner Occupied Businesses and Home Ownership
Why is Joe Biden declaring war on American family farmers, investors in multifamily real estate and Main Street USA?
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May 17, 20215 min read


Update: Rocket Companies & United Wholesale Mortgage
We view RKT's refusal to provide this material information to investors as a significant omission in its public disclosure...
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May 14, 20216 min read


Is XRP a Security? And Is Everything About FOMO?
Whether you are chasing alpha in stocks or buying crypto tokens or making non-agency mortgage loans, the maddening crowd is FOMO...
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May 12, 20215 min read


Brian Barnier: Are Central Bankers Asking the Right Questions about “Inflation?”
The Fed's 2% inflation target needs to be replaced in a specific way
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May 6, 20214 min read


Profile: NYCB + Flagstar Bancorp
The combination of New York Community Bank and Flagstar creates an $85 billion bank with a national mortgage business
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May 4, 20216 min read


Chairman Powell: Fine Tuning and Price Stability
Each burst of liquidity provided by the FOMC in response to a major externality creates the conditions for the next financial crisis
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Apr 27, 20215 min read


Citigroup: Breaking Up is Hard to Do
Citi has drifted through years of government ownership and weak leadership by the board of directors
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Apr 22, 20216 min read


The Interview: Nom de Plumber on Forbearance Risk
Sooner or later someone has to eat those forgone cash flow losses....
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Apr 19, 20215 min read
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