top of page


A Tale of Two Mortgage SPACs: UWMC and FOA
Why did FOA write down $1.4 billion in intangible equity, yet UWM took no similar write down?
-
Mar 9, 20224 min read


The IRA Bank Book Q1 2022 | Credit Risk Returns
We add a new dimension of risk to the normalization of US bank earnings with the Russian war against Ukraine.
-
Mar 7, 202211 min read


When "Force Majeure" Isn't Quite
The imposition of sanctions on Russia is not as comprehensive as some press reports suggest.
-
Mar 1, 20223 min read


Profile: Silvergate Capital Corp (SI)
SI’s management team is taking advantage of the narrative in Washington, which is that stable coins will be a bank only product
-
Feb 16, 20226 min read


Profile: NexBank Capital, Inc.
Among the ten largest mortgage specialization banks, NexBank had among the best equity returns in Q3 2021
-
Feb 10, 20226 min read


Profile: Citigroup (C)
Why does this bank exist? What market does it serve and how will it grow in the future?
-
Jan 27, 20226 min read


Profile: Cross River Bank
Bottom line, when a bank seems to be doing much better than other banks, there is usually a reason and that reason is almost always bad
-
Jan 19, 20226 min read


Q4 Earnings | Big Banks & QE
In the short-run rising interest rates and spreads will help bank earnings. But where is the next credit hot spot?
-
Jan 12, 20228 min read


Mortgage Crises Yesterday and Today
As we move into Q4 2021 earnings, keep your eyes peeled for news of restructuring of urban commercial commercial and multifamily properties
-
Jan 4, 20226 min read


Update: Block Inc. & Upstart Holdings
Is SQ really, REALLY worth 25x book value? Our respectful answer to that question is no.
-
Dec 22, 20219 min read


A Bull Case for US Banks?
We ask whether bank fundamentals are starting to catch up to the very full equity market valuations , up 40% since the end of 2020
-
Dec 13, 202111 min read


Fed Tightens Months Late, Even as it Attacks Liquidity
any of the problems that the Fed now seeks to fix, starting with the unnecessary elimination of LIBOR, are a function of earlier policies...
-
Dec 7, 20217 min read


Profile: Raymond James Financial
RJF is one of those quiet high-performer banks in the investment world that few understand but many own in LT portfolio
-
Nov 18, 20214 min read


Is New York City Coming Back?
Over the next several years, as the economic cost of COVID becomes full visible, New York City may face its second financial crisis
-
Nov 10, 20218 min read


Update: New Residential Investment, Fortress & Softbank
The good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.
-
Nov 3, 20217 min read


Cenlar FSB, COOP, BLND and the Great MSR Migration
Risk to investors in the market for residential mortgages is rising and from multiple sources
-
Oct 28, 20214 min read


Three Questions for Chairman Powell
Look for the FOMC to act early and go big in terms of forward repurchase agreements at the first sign of liquidity stress.
-
Oct 25, 20216 min read


Profile: Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL)
WAL is one the best performing small banks in the US based upon equity market valuations, profits and growth rates
-
Oct 22, 20215 min read


Zombie Banks, Crypto & MSRs
Fact is, we are all staring at computers or handsets, all of which are connected to the internet.
-
Oct 15, 20217 min read


Bank Earnings Setup: Rebound to 2020
Many of the better managed financials that we track have become sellers of assets rather than buyers in the past several months.
-
Oct 12, 20216 min read
bottom of page







.png)