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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance


Time to Short the AI Bubble?
Researchers at Apple just released a paper that throws cold water on the "reasoning" capabilities of the latest, most powerful large language AI models. In the paper, a team of machine learning experts makes the case that the AI industry is grossly overstating the ability of its top AI models, including OpenAI's o3, Anthropic's Claude 3.7, and Google's Gemini.
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Jun 116 min read
483 views


Big Losses in Commercial Real Estate & PE in 2025?
Private equity portfolio companies are about 10 times as likely to go bankrupt as non-PE-owned companies.
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Jan 136 min read
1,184 views


Taxing Crypto? And Just Where Is That Consumer Recession?
Yes, net loss rates in percentage terms post default are back up to 2010 levels, but the dollar volume of net charge-offs remains very low.
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Jan 58 min read
418 views


Update: Top Bank Asset Managers
As and when GS can exit the loss leading credit card relationship with AAPL, the performance of the business should improve significantly.
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Dec 30, 20248 min read
233 views


Update: Citigroup, Bank America and Goldman Sachs
How is Goldman going to extricate itself from this profoundly unattractive business with AAPL without destroying Apple Card?
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Oct 18, 20247 min read
458 views


Update: Flying Fintechs & Zombie Banks
COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...
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Nov 29, 20236 min read
662 views


Markets Affirm the Unbearable Lightness of Fintech
When you are in a big crowd, nothing else matters.
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Sep 7, 20235 min read
627 views


AI, Automobiles & Great Cities
If it’s artificial, then it’s not intelligent.
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Jun 6, 20236 min read
1,162 views


Profile: Silvergate Capital Corp (SI)
SI’s management team is taking advantage of the narrative in Washington, which is that stable coins will be a bank only product
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Feb 16, 20226 min read
559 views


Trade Warrior: Dan Caprio on the EU, China and Global Trade
A nation of 1.5 billion souls is being held hostage by a criminal gang called the Chinese Communist Party.
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Oct 4, 20217 min read
476 views


Update: Square as a Bank
The evolution of fintech companies into regulated banks has implications for public market valuations...
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Jan 10, 20218 min read
433 views
Christopher Whalen
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