Record Losses for Mortgage Banks Presage Tough Year Ahead
Is 2023 the year of the Return of the Distressed Loan Trade?
top of page
.png)
.png)
The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2023 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Fintech
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 17, 2022
- 7 min
Extension Risk Threatens US Banks
There are literally dozens of banks in the US made insolvent by the policy moves of the FOMC over the past year.
1,200 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 15, 2022
- 6 min
Loan Delinquency, EBOs & Ginnie Mae MSRs
It seems obvious that the reported book value metrics coming from many commercial banks, REITs and mortgage banks are a tad inflated...
759 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 7, 2022
- 7 min
Brief: The Return of Home Equity Loans
Every residential mortgage loan made in 2020-2021 is likely to be underwater by the end of 2023
1,325 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Nov 4, 2022
- 5 min
TIAA Sells Everbank; Mortgage Earnings Wrap
The big news this week starts with the poor showing by Rocket Companies (RKT), reporting a loss for Q3 2022 and a big decline in volumes.
307 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Oct 28, 2022
- 7 min
Update: Credit Suisse (CS) & PennyMac Financial (PFSI)
Like COOP, volumes are down dramatically from 2021 but MSR values and cash flows from servicing are rising
916 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Oct 26, 2022
- 4 min
Update: Mr. Cooper (COOP)
Despite the outlook for the industry, COOP continues to be one of the better performing names in our mortgage surveillance group.
294 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Oct 24, 2022
- 3 min
AOCI: The Winter of Quantitative Easing
Little attention is being paid to the collateral damage being done by the FOMC to the debt capital markets
767 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Oct 17, 2022
- 7 min
Will the FOMC Break the Financials?
Will the market risk created by quantitative tightening (QT) tip over a large bank or nonbank financial firm?
788 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Oct 2, 2022
- 10 min
Large Banks: QT Winners & Losers
A number of readers have asked us to talk about the winners and losers among large banks in the current interest rate environment.
805 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Sep 22, 2022
- 8 min
The Bear Case for Ginnie Mae Issuers
The nightmare scenario in the government loan market is that FHA loan delinquency rises to the point where issuers become insolvent
706 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Sep 11, 2022
- 8 min
Interview: David Stevens on GNMA Capital Rule & ICE + BKI
The entire mortgage industry will have a single point of failure with the ICE/BKI combination
1,791 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 25, 2022
- 6 min
Update: Blend Labs & loanDepot Inc.
If the merger of Black Knight and Intercontinental Exchange goes through, the expanded ICE monopoly will simply give POS tools away for free
339 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 24, 2022
- 6 min
Interview: Scott Olson of Community Home Lenders of America
The banks have left the government market. Now Ginnie Mae seems bound and determined to drive the IMBs out of government lending as well
676 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 10, 2022
- 5 min
The FOMC Embraces Debt Deflation
The deflation of 2023 is about marking down all types of real assets to the price level that equates with a non-QE world.
668 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Aug 7, 2022
- 7 min
Update: Guild Mortgage & Block Inc.
Since Block has not yet changed its ticker symbol, perhaps Mr. Dorsey will eventually change the company's name back to Square...
351 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 27, 2022
- 5 min
Update: Mr. Cooper Group
We agree with the assessment by Leon Cooperman of COOP management that this firm is one of the best positioned IMBs in the industry...
352 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 21, 2022
- 5 min
Should the FOMC Pause Rate Hikes After July?
The real message to the FOMC is this: hike another 75bp in July and then let the Fed funds target sit for a few meetings...
598 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jul 19, 2022
- 6 min
Interest Rates & Bank Earnings
The good news for BAC and other banks is that there is a discernable lift underway on the yield of bank balance sheets
349 views
R. Christopher Whalen
- Jun 22, 2022
- 5 min
New Residential Pivots, Gets "Rithm"
NRZ must pay $400 million to Fortress to end the relationship with the external manager, a final act of squeezing NRZ shareholders
755 views
Christopher Whalen
bottom of page